Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana: match statistics

Reggiana have shown clearly stronger form over the course of the season: they remain unbeaten after 3 matches, with 2 wins and 1 draw, while Vis Pesaro have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. The visitors average 2 goals scored away from home and concede just 1, whereas the hosts score 1.5 goals per home match but allow their opponents 2 goals on average. Reggiana’s advantage is also evident in the quality of chances created, with an average xG of 1.60 compared with Vis Pesaro’s 1.24, while their xG against stands at 1.33 versus 1.92 for the hosts. Vis Pesaro have conceded as many as 12 goals in their last 5 matches and have won just once, whereas Reggiana have recorded 3 victories during this period, scoring 8 goals. The hosts tend to enjoy more possession, averaging 55%, but Reggiana produce significantly more shots away from home—15 compared with 8.5—which supports a prediction of an away win.

Both teams have recorded goals from both sides in 100% of their matches this season, while neither has kept a clean sheet or ended a match without scoring. Vis Pesaro average 2.0 goals scored, but have conceded as many as 2.4 goals per game across their last five matches, significantly boosting Reggiana’s chances of finding the net. Reggiana are in strong attacking form, averaging 1.6 goals across their last five appearances with an xG of 1.55, while Vis Pesaro’s defensive xG is a high 2.32. The hosts should still respond with a goal, as they average 5.5 shots on target per match, while Reggiana have allowed opponents 1.55 xG across their last five games. The BTTS figures from the last five matches—60% for Vis Pesaro and 80% for Reggiana—are clearly above the league average of 50%, making a Goal/Goal scenario the most likely outcome. BTTS - No means that at least one team fails to score; it does not automatically mean a 0-0 draw or that neither team will score.

The profile of the last five matches clearly favors goals: Vis Pesaro matches produced an average of 3.4 goals, while Reggiana’s averaged 2.8. Vis Pesaro conceded 2.4 goals per match during this period, with an against xG of 2.32, creating highly favorable conditions for the visitors’ attack, which averages 1.6 goals. Reggiana scored an average of 1.6 goals in its last five matches, and both teams recorded games with at least 2 goals throughout the season sample to date. Additionally, both sides scored and conceded at least one goal in 100% of their matches so far, while the league average is only 2.47 goals. The strongest selection is Over 1.5, as the projected 3.15 goals provide a clear margin above this line, even under a more cautious assessment of the limited sample.

Reggiana are in clearly better current form: they have won 60% of their last five matches and average 2.0 points per game, while Vis Pesaro have won just 20% of their matches and average 0.8 points. The first-half picture is particularly important: the visitors were leading at the break in 60% of their recent matches, while the hosts were trailing after 45 minutes in 60% of theirs. Reggiana also score an average of 1.2 goals before half-time, compared with 0.4 for Vis Pesaro. The hosts’ defence has conceded an average of 2.4 goals per match across their last five games, while Reggiana score an average of 1.6. Vis Pesaro remain vulnerable after the break, conceding an average of 1.4 goals, which favours the visitors maintaining their earlier advantage. Therefore, the most likely scenario is that Reggiana lead at half-time and go on to secure the win, making the HT/FT 2/2 outcome the strongest selection.