Vis Pesaro vs Ternana: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to very evenly matched chances for both teams. Vis Pesaro presents solid home form with a 43% draw rate and a +1 goal difference, averaging 1.93 goals per game. Ternana has an identical draw rate (43%) and win rate (36%) away from home, with a slightly better goal difference (+4) and shooting efficiency (13% conversion rate compared to the hosts' 8%). The last five matches for both teams show balanced form - Vis Pesaro at 1.6 PPG with a two-game winning streak, and Ternana at 1.8 PPG despite two consecutive defeats. Similar xG values (1.61 vs 1.22 for the visitors) and identical clean sheet rates (36% each) suggest tactical equilibrium. Considering the high propensity for draws in their respective matches and the balanced statistics, a split of points is the most probable outcome.
Vis Pesaro vs Ternana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vis Pesaro played Ternana in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Vis Pesaro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Ternana: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vis Pesaro scores 1.07 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Ternana scores 1.24 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vis Pesaro 55%, Ternana 48%. Over 2.5: Vis Pesaro 38%, Ternana 38%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Ternana has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.43. Vis Pesaro: 11.1 shots per match, Ternana: 11.9.
Match halves
Vis Pesaro: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.59. Ternana: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Vis Pesaro: 76-90+ (8 goals). Ternana: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to very evenly matched chances for both teams. Vis Pesaro presents solid home form with a 43% draw rate and a +1 goal difference, averaging 1.93 goals per game. Ternana has an identical draw rate (43%) and win rate (36%) away from home, with a slightly better goal difference (+4) and shooting efficiency (13% conversion rate compared to the hosts' 8%). The last five matches for both teams show balanced form - Vis Pesaro at 1.6 PPG with a two-game winning streak, and Ternana at 1.8 PPG despite two consecutive defeats. Similar xG values (1.61 vs 1.22 for the visitors) and identical clean sheet rates (36% each) suggest tactical equilibrium. Considering the high propensity for draws in their respective matches and the balanced statistics, a split of points is the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vis Pesaro | Ternana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ternana is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Vis Pesaro · 1.8 pts / match - Ternana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ternana is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.07 goals / match - Vis Pesaro · 1.24 goals / match - Ternana
Vis Pesaro scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while Ternana keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).
Ternana scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while Vis Pesaro keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vis Pesaro
Over / Under - Ternana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vis Pesaro is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / match - Vis Pesaro · 1.28 pts / match - Ternana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vis Pesaro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ternana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vis Pesaro
Ternana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Vis Pesaro | Liga | Ternana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.07 | 2.26 | • 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 49% | • 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 38% | 39% | • 38% |
| Clean sheets | • 31% | 30% | • 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 63% | • 62% |
| Goal after half-time | • 72% | 72% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Vis Pesaro 0 - 1 - 0 Ternana. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vis Pesaro vs Ternana?
The Serie C Group B match finished Vis Pesaro 1:0 Ternana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vis Pesaro vs Ternana?
Vis Pesaro score 1.07 goals per game on average and Ternana 1.24. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Vis Pesaro's matches and 48% of Ternana's.
What form are Vis Pesaro and Ternana in?
Over the last 5 games Vis Pesaro have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ternana 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vis Pesaro vs Ternana?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Vis Pesaro vs Ternana: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.