Vitesse vs NAC Breda: match statistics
Vitesse vs NAC Breda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vitesse played NAC Breda in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: GelreDome. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Vitesse: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. NAC Breda: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vitesse scores 1.63 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. NAC Breda scores 2.13 and concedes 2.13. League average: 3.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vitesse 63%, NAC Breda 88%. Over 2.5: Vitesse 63%, NAC Breda 88%. League level: BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 70%.
xG, shots and style
NAC Breda has higher xG: 2.28 vs 1.75. Vitesse: 16.5 shots per match, NAC Breda: 22.6.
Match halves
Vitesse: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88. NAC Breda: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
Vitesse: 16-30 (3 goals). NAC Breda: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.70 goals per match, BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 70%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vitesse have a slight edge thanks to home advantage and their recent form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with NAC Breda’s 2. The hosts conceded 6 goals during this period, while the visitors conceded 12, which points to Vitesse having the stronger defence. However, NAC are a threat going forward away from home, averaging 2 goals per match with an xG of 2,09, compared with Vitesse’s 1,5 goals and xG of 1,98 at home. The visitors concede an average of 2 goals away from home, so the hosts should have chances to exploit this weakness. Both teams have won 50% of their respective home and away matches, so Vitesse’s advantage is slight.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a high rate of matches featuring goals at both ends: 75% for Vitesse and 100% for NAC Breda, compared with a league average of 71%. Neither side has kept a clean sheet so far, and Vitesse concede an average of 2.25 goals at home, while NAC concede 2.0 away from home. Their attacking potential also points to goals for both teams: the hosts average 2.25 goals and an xG of 2.47, while the visitors average 2.0 goals and an xG of 2.09. In their last five matches, NAC scored and conceded an average of 2.4 goals each, while Vitesse scored 1.8 goals per game. One concern is that Vitesse have failed to score in 25% of their home matches; however, the strength of the other indicators supports the BTTS - Yes pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Matches involving both teams have averaged more than 4 goals so far: Vitesse have scored 2.25 and conceded 2.25 goals, while NAC Breda have scored and conceded 2.0 each. Their attacking potential is reflected in xG figures of 2.47 for Vitesse and 2.09 for NAC, alongside 7.0 and 6.5 shots on target per match, respectively. In their last five matches, the Over 2.5 goals line landed in 60% of Vitesse’s games and 100% of NAC’s, although such a short sample increases uncertainty at higher lines. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as both teams have cleared this line in 100% of their matches so far, with the projected total standing at 4.1 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Vitesse led at the break in 3 of their 4 home matches, while NAC Breda were trailing at half-time in 2 of their 4 away games, pointing to an early home advantage. Vitesse create chances worth an average of 2.47 xG at home, compared with NAC’s 2.09 xG away, and average 7 shots on target against their opponents’ 6.5. Over their last 5 matches, Vitesse conceded an average of 0.4 goals after the break, while NAC conceded 1.6, giving the hosts reason to believe they can maintain their lead until full-time. However, the 1/1 pick remains only moderately confident: NAC won 2 of their 4 away games, and Vitesse conceded an average of 1.75 goals in the second half at home.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vitesse | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vitesse is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Vitesse · 1.4 pts / match - NAC Breda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NAC Breda is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Vitesse · 2.13 goals / match - NAC Breda
Vitesse is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Vitesse · 2.13 goals / match - NAC Breda
Vitesse scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).
NAC Breda scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Vitesse keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vitesse
Over / Under - NAC Breda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
NAC Breda is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Vitesse · 1.63 pts / match - NAC Breda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vitesse - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
NAC Breda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vitesse
NAC Breda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Vitesse | Liga | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.70 | ▲ 4.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 63% | 71% | ▲ 88% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 63% | 70% | ▲ 88% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 16% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 84% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Vitesse vs NAC Breda?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Vitesse 2:2 NAC Breda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vitesse vs NAC Breda?
Vitesse score 1.63 goals per game on average and NAC Breda 2.13. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 70% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Vitesse's matches and 88% of NAC Breda's.
What form are Vitesse and NAC Breda in?
Over the last 5 games Vitesse have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and NAC Breda 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vitesse vs NAC Breda?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Vitesse vs NAC Breda: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.