Vitória Guimarães II vs Fafe: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced match with a slight advantage for a draw. Vitória Guimarães II exhibits poor home form with 50% of matches lost at home, although they hold a possession advantage (56%) and a higher xG (1.74). Fafe is in excellent overall form with four wins in their last five matches and an impressive goal tally (10 goals scored), yet their away form is significantly weaker with only a 13% win rate. Both teams have a similar seasonal record (6-5-5) and a negative goal difference at their home venues. Considering the hosts' poor home performance and the visitors' struggles on the road, alongside Fafe's good scoring form, the most likely scenario is a share of the points.
Vitória Guimarães II vs Fafe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vitória Guimarães II played Fafe in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 18 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Vitória Guimarães II: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Fafe: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vitória Guimarães II scores 1.00 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Fafe scores 1.31 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vitória Guimarães II 44%, Fafe 50%. Over 2.5: Vitória Guimarães II 31%, Fafe 38%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Fafe has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.44. Vitória Guimarães II: 10.9 shots per match, Fafe: 11.9.
Match halves
Vitória Guimarães II: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.56. Fafe: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Vitória Guimarães II: 61-75 (4 goals). Fafe: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.13 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced match with a slight advantage for a draw. Vitória Guimarães II exhibits poor home form with 50% of matches lost at home, although they hold a possession advantage (56%) and a higher xG (1.74). Fafe is in excellent overall form with four wins in their last five matches and an impressive goal tally (10 goals scored), yet their away form is significantly weaker with only a 13% win rate. Both teams have a similar seasonal record (6-5-5) and a negative goal difference at their home venues. Considering the hosts' poor home performance and the visitors' struggles on the road, alongside Fafe's good scoring form, the most likely scenario is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vitória Guimarães II | Fafe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fafe is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães II · 1.31 goals / match - Fafe
Vitória Guimarães II is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.88 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães II · 1.13 goals / match - Fafe
Vitória Guimarães II scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Fafe keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
Fafe scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Vitória Guimarães II keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vitória Guimarães II
Over / Under - Fafe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vitória Guimarães II is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Vitória Guimarães II · 1.19 pts / match - Fafe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vitória Guimarães II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fafe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vitória Guimarães II
Fafe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Vitória Guimarães II | Liga | Fafe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.88 | 2.13 | ▲ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | • 44% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 35% | ▲ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 34% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | • 63% | 62% | • 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Vitória Guimarães II 0 - 0 - 1 Fafe. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vitória Guimarães II vs Fafe?
The Liga 3 match finished Vitória Guimarães II 1:0 Fafe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vitória Guimarães II vs Fafe?
Vitória Guimarães II score 1.00 goals per game on average and Fafe 1.31. The Liga 3 average is 2.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Vitória Guimarães II's matches and 50% of Fafe's.
What form are Vitória Guimarães II and Fafe in?
Over the last 5 games Vitória Guimarães II have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Fafe 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vitória Guimarães II vs Fafe?
The statistical background for Vitória Guimarães II vs Fafe — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.