Vitória Guimarães vs Estrela Amadora: match statistics
Vitória Guimarães display significantly better form at home, winning 45% of their home matches and maintaining a positive goal difference (+1) at their own stadium. The hosts have an advantage in ball possession (48% vs 41%) and offensive efficiency, as confirmed by the average xG (1.4 vs 0.85). Estrela Amadora have serious problems in away matches, losing 40% of games and recording a negative goal difference (-9), as well as failing to score in half of their away encounters. The visitors concede an average of 2 goals per match away from home, which, combined with the hosts' solid offense (averaging 1.36 goals per home match), gives Vitória a clear advantage. The form from the last five matches also favors the hosts, who have collected more points (1.2 vs 1.0 PPG), making them the favorite in this clash.
Vitória Guimarães vs Estrela Amadora: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vitória Guimarães played Estrela Amadora in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Vitória Guimarães: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Estrela Amadora: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vitória Guimarães scores 1.10 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Estrela Amadora scores 1.19 and concedes 1.76. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vitória Guimarães 38%, Estrela Amadora 48%. Over 2.5: Vitória Guimarães 43%, Estrela Amadora 52%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Vitória Guimarães has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.13. Vitória Guimarães: 13.2 shots per match, Estrela Amadora: 10.6.
Match halves
Vitória Guimarães: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.52. Estrela Amadora: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Vitória Guimarães: 31-45+ (7 goals). Estrela Amadora: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vitória Guimarães display significantly better form at home, winning 45% of their home matches and maintaining a positive goal difference (+1) at their own stadium. The hosts have an advantage in ball possession (48% vs 41%) and offensive efficiency, as confirmed by the average xG (1.4 vs 0.85). Estrela Amadora have serious problems in away matches, losing 40% of games and recording a negative goal difference (-9), as well as failing to score in half of their away encounters. The visitors concede an average of 2 goals per match away from home, which, combined with the hosts' solid offense (averaging 1.36 goals per home match), gives Vitória a clear advantage. The form from the last five matches also favors the hosts, who have collected more points (1.2 vs 1.0 PPG), making them the favorite in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vitória Guimarães | Estrela Amadora | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vitória Guimarães is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Vitória Guimarães · 1 pts / match - Estrela Amadora
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estrela Amadora is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães · 1.19 goals / match - Estrela Amadora
Vitória Guimarães is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães · 1.76 goals / match - Estrela Amadora
Vitória Guimarães scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while Estrela Amadora keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
Estrela Amadora scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Vitória Guimarães keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vitória Guimarães
Over / Under - Estrela Amadora
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vitória Guimarães is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Vitória Guimarães · 0.95 pts / match - Estrela Amadora
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vitória Guimarães - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Estrela Amadora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vitória Guimarães
Estrela Amadora
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Vitória Guimarães | Liga | Estrela Amadora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.52 | 2.78 | ▲ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 30% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 72% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Vitória Guimarães 1 - 0 - 0 Estrela Amadora. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vitória Guimarães vs Estrela Amadora?
The Liga NOS match finished Vitória Guimarães 2:1 Estrela Amadora. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vitória Guimarães vs Estrela Amadora?
Vitória Guimarães score 1.10 goals per game on average and Estrela Amadora 1.19. The Liga NOS average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Vitória Guimarães's matches and 48% of Estrela Amadora's.
What form are Vitória Guimarães and Estrela Amadora in?
Over the last 5 games Vitória Guimarães have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Estrela Amadora 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vitória Guimarães vs Estrela Amadora?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.