Vitória Guimarães vs Moreirense FC: match statistics
Vitória Guimarães presents solid home form with 40% of matches won at home and a goal difference of 0, indicating stability. The hosts have earned 9 points in their last five matches overall (3 wins), showing a clear improvement in form. Moreirense FC has a weaker away record with only 30% wins and a negative goal difference (-3), conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match away. Although the visitors have a better table position and good recent overall form (2.0 PPG), their away statistics are significantly weaker. Given the advantage of playing before their own crowd and a higher xG ratio (1.41 vs 1.08), Vitória Guimarães has a real chance of victory, though the even level of possession for both teams could lead to a draw.
Vitória Guimarães vs Moreirense FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vitória Guimarães played Moreirense FC in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 30 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Vitória Guimarães: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Moreirense FC: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vitória Guimarães scores 1.05 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Moreirense FC scores 1.37 and concedes 1.37. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vitória Guimarães 37%, Moreirense FC 47%. Over 2.5: Vitória Guimarães 42%, Moreirense FC 58%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Vitória Guimarães has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.07. Vitória Guimarães: 13.2 shots per match, Moreirense FC: 9.4.
Match halves
Vitória Guimarães: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.53. Moreirense FC: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Vitória Guimarães: 31-45+ (7 goals). Moreirense FC: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vitória Guimarães presents solid home form with 40% of matches won at home and a goal difference of 0, indicating stability. The hosts have earned 9 points in their last five matches overall (3 wins), showing a clear improvement in form. Moreirense FC has a weaker away record with only 30% wins and a negative goal difference (-3), conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match away. Although the visitors have a better table position and good recent overall form (2.0 PPG), their away statistics are significantly weaker. Given the advantage of playing before their own crowd and a higher xG ratio (1.41 vs 1.08), Vitória Guimarães has a real chance of victory, though the even level of possession for both teams could lead to a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vitória Guimarães | Moreirense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Moreirense FC is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Vitória Guimarães · 2 pts / match - Moreirense FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Moreirense FC is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães · 1.37 goals / match - Moreirense FC
Vitória Guimarães scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while Moreirense FC keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
Moreirense FC scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Vitória Guimarães keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vitória Guimarães
Over / Under - Moreirense FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vitória Guimarães - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Moreirense FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vitória Guimarães
Moreirense FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Vitória Guimarães | Liga | Moreirense FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.47 | 2.76 | • 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 44% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 54% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 30% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 73% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 78% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Moreirense FCSubstitutionOn: Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares BondosoOff: Landerson Costa Araujo
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Vitória Guimarães 0 - 0 - 1 Moreirense FC. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vitória Guimarães vs Moreirense FC?
The Liga NOS match finished Vitória Guimarães 1:0 Moreirense FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vitória Guimarães vs Moreirense FC?
Vitória Guimarães score 1.05 goals per game on average and Moreirense FC 1.37. The Liga NOS average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Vitória Guimarães's matches and 47% of Moreirense FC's.
What form are Vitória Guimarães and Moreirense FC in?
Over the last 5 games Vitória Guimarães have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Moreirense FC 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vitória Guimarães vs Moreirense FC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.