Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro: match statistics
Vitória presents solid home form with a record of 50% wins and 50% losses at their own stadium, with a favorable goal difference of +1. The hosts stand out with offensive efficiency, boasting a 10% shot conversion and a high average xG (1.56) in home matches. Atlético Mineiro has a disastrous away record - 100% defeats in two away matches, not earning a single point, with a negative goal difference of -2. The visitors present very poor attacking efficiency away (only 0.5 goals per match, xG 1.05) and a worrying streak of two consecutive away defeats. Considering Vitória's advantage playing in front of their home crowd and Atlético's complete powerlessness away, the hosts are clear favorites of this matchup. An additional asset for Vitória is their better form in the last five matches (1.6 points per game) compared to the visitors (1.0 points per game).
Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vitória played Atlético Mineiro in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Vitória: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match. Atlético Mineiro: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vitória scores 1.25 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Atlético Mineiro scores 1.40 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vitória 75%, Atlético Mineiro 60%. Over 2.5: Vitória 50%, Atlético Mineiro 60%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Mineiro has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.20. Vitória: 11.3 shots per match, Atlético Mineiro: 11.8.
Match halves
Vitória: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Atlético Mineiro: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Vitória: 46-60 (3 goals). Atlético Mineiro: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vitória presents solid home form with a record of 50% wins and 50% losses at their own stadium, with a favorable goal difference of +1. The hosts stand out with offensive efficiency, boasting a 10% shot conversion and a high average xG (1.56) in home matches. Atlético Mineiro has a disastrous away record - 100% defeats in two away matches, not earning a single point, with a negative goal difference of -2. The visitors present very poor attacking efficiency away (only 0.5 goals per match, xG 1.05) and a worrying streak of two consecutive away defeats. Considering Vitória's advantage playing in front of their home crowd and Atlético's complete powerlessness away, the hosts are clear favorites of this matchup. An additional asset for Vitória is their better form in the last five matches (1.6 points per game) compared to the visitors (1.0 points per game).
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vitória | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Mineiro is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Vitória · 1.4 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro
Atlético Mineiro is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Vitória · 1.6 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro
Vitória scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Atlético Mineiro scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Vitória keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vitória
Over / Under - Atlético Mineiro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Mineiro is 140% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Vitória · 1.2 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vitória - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 75% |
| No goal | 75% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vitória
Atlético Mineiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Vitória | Liga | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.25 | 2.80 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 65% | ▼ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 17% | ▲ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Vitória 1 - 1 - 0 Atlético Mineiro. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro?
The Serie A match finished Vitória 2:0 Atlético Mineiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vitória and Atlético Mineiro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vitória won 1, Atlético Mineiro won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro?
Vitória score 1.25 goals per game on average and Atlético Mineiro 1.40. The Serie A average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Vitória's matches and 60% of Atlético Mineiro's.
What form are Vitória and Atlético Mineiro in?
Over the last 5 games Vitória have a 1-1-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Atlético Mineiro 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.