Vitória vs Botafogo: match statistics
Vitória vs Botafogo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vitória played Botafogo in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 16 August 2026. Venue: Estádio Manoel Barradas. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Vitória: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Botafogo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vitória scores 1.00 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Botafogo scores 1.67 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vitória 36%, Botafogo 76%. Over 2.5: Vitória 36%, Botafogo 71%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Botafogo has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.20. Vitória: 10.8 shots per match, Botafogo: 13.1.
Match halves
Vitória: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.64. Botafogo: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Vitória: 61-75 (6 goals). Botafogo: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-3-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vitória presents a clearly stronger profile at home: they win 70% of their matches there, score an average of 1.5 goals, and concede just 0.7 goals per game. The hosts’ defensive record is particularly significant, having kept a clean sheet in 70% of their home fixtures, while Botafogo concede an average of 1.73 goals away from home and have an average xG against of 1.74. The visitors have been more consistent across the competition recently, picking up 8 points from five matches compared with Vitória’s 3 points, while conceding just 4 goals during that period. However, their away performance remains limited by a 36% win rate and 45% defeat rate, so home advantage and Vitória’s significantly tighter defence favour the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Long-term data clearly support goals from both sides: BTTS occurred in 70% of Vitória’s matches and as many as 82% of Botafogo’s, compared with a league average of 56%. Botafogo kept a clean sheet in only 9% of matches, while Vitória did so in 20%, with average goals conceded of 1.73 and 1.40 respectively. The home side averages 1.69 xG and 5.5 shots on target per match, while Botafogo records 1.28 xG and 4.91 shots on target. Vitória’s recent form is nevertheless a warning sign, as they have scored only 4 goals and failed to register BTTS in five matches, but they have also conceded 10 goals, strengthening Botafogo’s chances of scoring. The visitors’ improved recent defence, having allowed just 4 goals in five games, lowers confidence in the pick, but the strong season-long indicators still give a slight edge to the BTTS scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The season profile points to goals, with Vitória averaging 1.80 goals and Botafogo 1.55, but current form clearly lowers that expectation. In their last five matches, the hosts scored just 4 goals, or 0.80 per game, while Botafogo scored 5; in both cases, only 40% of matches went over 2.5 goals. Botafogo’s defence conceded just 4 goals in 5 appearances during this period, limiting Vitória’s chances despite their season average of 15.2 shots per game. On the other hand, Vitória have conceded 10 goals recently, so Botafogo should create opportunities, but the expected total of 2.50 goals still gives a clear edge to Under 3.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Botafogo have a clearly superior first-half profile over their last five matches: they were leading at the break in 80% of games, scored an average of 0.8 goals and conceded none. Over the same period, Vitória were trailing at half-time in 80% of matches, scoring just 0.4 goals and conceding an average of 1.0. The visitors are also in better current points form, averaging 1.6 points per match compared with Vitória’s 0.6, with the hosts having lost 4 of their last 5 games. Although Vitória average 1.8 goals per home match across the season, their recent lack of efficiency and Botafogo’s defensive solidity before the break provide the strongest support for an HT/FT scenario in which the visitors lead at half-time and maintain their win after the final whistle.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vitória | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Botafogo is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Vitória · 1.6 pts / match - Botafogo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Botafogo is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Vitória · 1.67 goals / match - Botafogo
Vitória is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Vitória · 1.57 goals / match - Botafogo
Vitória scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
Botafogo scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Vitória keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vitória
Over / Under - Botafogo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Botafogo is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Vitória · 1.57 pts / match - Botafogo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vitória - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Botafogo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 38%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vitória
Botafogo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Vitória | Liga | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.60 | ▲ 3.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 57% | ▲ 76% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 49% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 24% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 75% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 77% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Vitória 0 - 3 - 0 Botafogo. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vitória vs Botafogo?
The Serie A match finished Vitória 1:0 Botafogo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vitória and Botafogo?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Vitória won 0, Botafogo won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vitória vs Botafogo?
Vitória score 1.00 goals per game on average and Botafogo 1.67. The Serie A average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Vitória's matches and 76% of Botafogo's.
What form are Vitória and Botafogo in?
Over the last 5 games Vitória have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Botafogo 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vitória vs Botafogo?
The statistical background for Vitória vs Botafogo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.