Vitória vs Mirassol: match statistics
Vitória displays significantly better home form with a 67% win rate at home and a +3 goal difference, while Mirassol has not won any away match this season. The hosts score an average of 1.67 goals per home game with a solid 13% conversion rate and an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.42 vs 1.2). Mirassol has offensive issues away from home with 50% of matches without a scored goal and only 1 goal on average per game, while also lacking clean sheets in defense. The recent form of both teams also favors Vitória - the hosts have won 2 of their last 3 home games, while the visitors have lost 3 of their last 5 matches overall. Mirassol's possession (60%) does not translate into effectiveness, which, combined with their poor away form, makes them unlikely winners of this clash.
Vitória vs Mirassol: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vitória played Mirassol in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Vitória: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Mirassol: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vitória scores 1.17 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Mirassol scores 1.33 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vitória 50%, Mirassol 67%. Over 2.5: Vitória 33%, Mirassol 67%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Mirassol has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.13. Vitória: 10.3 shots per match, Mirassol: 15.7.
Match halves
Vitória: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83. Mirassol: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Vitória: 46-60 (3 goals). Mirassol: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vitória displays significantly better home form with a 67% win rate at home and a +3 goal difference, while Mirassol has not won any away match this season. The hosts score an average of 1.67 goals per home game with a solid 13% conversion rate and an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.42 vs 1.2). Mirassol has offensive issues away from home with 50% of matches without a scored goal and only 1 goal on average per game, while also lacking clean sheets in defense. The recent form of both teams also favors Vitória - the hosts have won 2 of their last 3 home games, while the visitors have lost 3 of their last 5 matches overall. Mirassol's possession (60%) does not translate into effectiveness, which, combined with their poor away form, makes them unlikely winners of this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vitória | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vitória is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Vitória · 0.6 pts / match - Mirassol
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mirassol is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Vitória · 1.33 goals / match - Mirassol
Mirassol is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Vitória · 1.5 goals / match - Mirassol
Vitória scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Mirassol keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
Mirassol scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Vitória keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vitória
Over / Under - Mirassol
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mirassol is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - Vitória · 1 pts / match - Mirassol
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vitória - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mirassol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vitória
Mirassol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Vitória | Liga | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.83 | 2.64 | ▲ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 47% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 73% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Vitória 1 - 1 - 0 Mirassol. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vitória vs Mirassol?
The Serie A match finished Vitória 1:0 Mirassol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vitória and Mirassol?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vitória won 1, Mirassol won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vitória vs Mirassol?
Vitória score 1.17 goals per game on average and Mirassol 1.33. The Serie A average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Vitória's matches and 67% of Mirassol's.
What form are Vitória and Mirassol in?
Over the last 5 games Vitória have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Mirassol 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vitória vs Mirassol?
The statistical background for Vitória vs Mirassol — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.