Vitória vs Vasco da Gama: match statistics
Vitória vs Vasco da Gama: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vitória play Vasco da Gama in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 17 July 2026 at 00:30. Venue: Estádio Manoel Barradas. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Vitória: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Vasco da Gama: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vitória scores 1.22 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Vasco da Gama scores 1.16 and concedes 1.58. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vitória 44%, Vasco da Gama 68%. Over 2.5: Vitória 39%, Vasco da Gama 58%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Vasco da Gama has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.24. Vitória: 11.2 shots per match, Vasco da Gama: 17.6.
Match halves
Vitória: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.78. Vasco da Gama: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Vitória: 61-75 (6 goals). Vasco da Gama: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a Vitória win — the hosts average 1.75 goals scored and only 0.38 conceded per home match, with a 75% win rate and 75% clean sheets at their stadium. In the last 5 fixtures Vitória has 4 wins, 11 goals and averages 2.4 points per game, while Vasco has 1 win, 5 goals and 0.6 points per game over the same period. Quality-of-chance metrics show Vitória’s home xG at 1.34 with a 14% conversion, whereas Vasco’s away xG is 1.6 but conversion is only 8%, yielding 1.25 goals per game. Additionally, Vasco concedes 2.0 goals on average away, has 0% clean sheets and 11 goals conceded in the last 5, which together with Vitória’s efficiency favors the hosts.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vitória | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vitória is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Vitória · 0.6 pts / match - Vasco da Gama
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vitória is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Vitória · 1.16 goals / match - Vasco da Gama
Vitória is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Vitória · 1.58 goals / match - Vasco da Gama
Vitória scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Vasco da Gama keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 matches).
Vasco da Gama scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Vitória keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Vitória
Over / Under — Vasco da Gama
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vitória is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Vitória · 0.79 pts / match - Vasco da Gama
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vitória - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Vasco da Gama - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vitória
Vasco da Gama
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Vitória | Liga | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.61 | 2.64 | ▲ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 58% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 50% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 23% | ▼ 5% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Vitória 1 - 0 - 1 Vasco da Gama. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vitória vs Vasco da Gama?
The Serie A match finished Vitória 1:0 Vasco da Gama. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vitória and Vasco da Gama?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vitória won 1, Vasco da Gama won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vitória vs Vasco da Gama?
Vitória score 1.22 goals per game on average and Vasco da Gama 1.16. The Serie A average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Vitória's matches and 68% of Vasco da Gama's.
What form are Vitória and Vasco da Gama in?
Over the last 5 games Vitória have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Vasco da Gama 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vitória vs Vasco da Gama?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Vitória vs Vasco da Gama: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.