Vojvodina vs Zemun: match statistics

Vojvodina are unbeaten at home, winning all 4 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals scored and just 0.25 conceded per game. The hosts create significantly more high-quality chances, averaging 1.77 xG, while Zemun manage only 0.72 xG away from home and have failed to score a single goal on the road. Zemun have lost their last 5 matches without scoring, and away from home they concede an average of 2.67 goals, with opponents recording 2.36 xG. Vojvodina average 16 shots at home, including 5.5 on target, whereas the visitors produce just 5.67 attempts and 1 shot on target per match. The difference in form, efficiency and defensive stability strongly points towards a convincing home win.

The strongest signal for BTTS - No comes from Zemunu’s attack: the team failed to score both on average over the season and in their last 5 matches, and they did not score in 100% of their games. Vojvodina conceded just 0.6 goals per match across their last five games, with opponents recording an average xG of 1.27, further reducing the visitors’ chances of breaking through. BTTS occurred in only 25% of Vojvodina’s league matches and in 0% of Zemunu’s games, while the league average is also a low 38%. The hosts are clearly superior in attack, averaging 11.75 shots and 2.75 shots on target compared with Zemunu’s 5.67 and 1.0, respectively, making a Vojvodina win with a clean sheet more likely. Even despite the hosts’ poor season-long finishing record, their recent run has produced 2.0 goals per match and an xG of 2.05, so the BTTS - No scenario is primarily driven by the relatively low probability of the visitors scoring.

Vojvodina are in clearly better form: they have averaged 2.0 goals scored over their last 5 matches, with an xG of 2.05, while Zemun have lost all five games without scoring a single goal. The hosts should create chances, as Zemun have conceded an average of 1.6 goals in their last five matches, while their average xG conceded is a high 2.30. At the same time, the visitors have limited attacking potential against a Vojvodina defense that has conceded only 0.6 goals per match over the same period and allowed opponents an xG of 1.27. The results profile also supports a low total: more than 3.5 goals were scored in only 25% of Vojvodina’s matches and 33% of Zemun’s games, while neither team has exceeded the 4.5-goal line. A controlled home win is therefore the most likely outcome, most often in the 2-0 or 2-1 range, giving the Under 3.5 goals option the edge.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Vojvodina win, as the hosts were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches, while Zemun were trailing at half-time in 60% of theirs. Vojvodina scored just 0.4 goals per match before the break, but their average rose to 1.6 goals after half-time, whereas Zemun failed to score in either period across their last five matches. The difference in current form is clear: the hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches and averaged 2.0 goals, while the visitors lost all 5 matches, conceding an average of 1.6 goals. Vojvodina’s advantage is also supported by the quality of chances created: their xG stands at 1.35 compared with Zemun’s 0.72, while their average number of shots on target is 2.75 against just 1.0 for the visitors. Zemun have failed to score in 100% of their last five matches and in 100% of their matches so far this season, so after a cautious first half, the most likely outcome is for the hosts to take control and secure a full-time victory.