Volos NFC vs Olympiakos Piraeus: match statistics

Olympiakos Piraeus remain unbeaten after two league matches, with a record of 2 wins and 0 goals conceded, while Volos have collected just 1 point from their opening two fixtures. Away from home, the visitors have won 100% of their matches so far and kept a clean sheet, which stands in stark contrast to Volos, who drew their only home game and failed to keep a clean sheet. Olympiakos also produce more shots on target per match, 7 compared with 3, despite almost identical attacking xG figures: 1.79 versus 1.78. Volos did, however, enjoy 63% possession and averaged 17 shots at home, so they could cause problems for the visitors, but a run of 9 goals conceded in their last five matches weakens their prospects. The stronger current defensive record and greater efficiency in creating shots on target favour an Olympiakos win, although the low scoring output of both teams increases the risk of a draw.

The stronger signal points to at least one team failing to score, as Olympiakos have scored only 0.6 goals per game in their last 5 matches and kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 5 appearances. Volos conceded an average of 1.8 goals during this period, giving the hosts a realistic chance of scoring, but their low goal output limits the probability of BTTS. The hosts averaged 1.2 goals in their last 5 matches, while Olympiakos allowed opponents just 0.6 goals per game. Although Volos have recorded a high 80% rate of matches with goals from both teams in their last five, Olympiakos have produced this outcome in only 20% of matches, while the league BTTS average stands at 46%. The xG from the last 5 matches—1.49 for Volos and 1.71 for Olympiakos—indicate chances for both sides, but the visitors’ stronger defence shifts the assessment towards BTTS - No.

In their last five matches, Volos averaged 1.2 goals scored but conceded as many as 1.8, while Olympiakos scored just 0.6 goals and allowed opponents 0.6. However, the goal-scoring potential is higher than the results alone suggest, as the average xG stands at 1.49 for Volos and 1.71 for Olympiakos, with 1.45 and 1.41 xG conceded, respectively. Combining these indicators produces a projection of 2.52 goals, which is closer to the league average of 2.69 than to a very tight match scenario. Nevertheless, Olympiakos went Over 2.5 goals in only 20% of their last five appearances, and their matches were clearly more controlled than Volos' games, with the latter surpassing this line in 60% of cases. The strongest edge is therefore Under 3.5: this line allows for two or three goals, while losing the bet would require a less typical away performance featuring at least four goals.

The strongest scenario is Olympiakos leading at the break and securing the win at full time, as Volos were trailing at half-time in as many as 80% of their last five matches, conceding an average of 1.4 goals before the interval. Olympiakos, by contrast, remained unbeaten at half-time throughout that sequence: they were level in 80% of matches and leading in 20%, while conceding just 0.0 goals in the first half. The visitors also have the better current points form, averaging 1.4 points per match compared with Volos’ 0.8, with the hosts recording one win and three defeats in their last five appearances. Olympiakos’ advantage is further supported by the quality of chances created: their average xG is 1.79, while Volos conceded an average of 1.8 goals in their last five matches. Volos can improve after the break, but Olympiakos kept a clean sheet in 60% of their last five second halves, limiting the hosts’ chances of completing a turnaround.