VPS vs Gnistan: match statistics
VPS vs Gnistan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
VPS played Gnistan in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
VPS: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Gnistan: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
VPS scores 0.80 and concedes 0.60 goals per match. Gnistan scores 0.80 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: VPS 20%, Gnistan 40%. Over 2.5: VPS 20%, Gnistan 40%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
VPS has higher xG: 1.43 vs 0.92. VPS: 12.0 shots per match, Gnistan: 7.8.
Match halves
VPS: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.00. Gnistan: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
VPS: 16-30 (2 goals). Gnistan: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.19 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win for VPS. VPS has won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 24 goals in those five games, while Gnistan has won 2 of 5 and scored 5 goals. At home VPS averages 15 shots and 5 on target per match with an average xG of 1.69, whereas Gnistan away average 8 shots and 2.5 on target with xG 0.94, indicating a clear home advantage in creating quality chances. Defensively VPS concedes 1.0 goal on average at home and keeps clean sheets in 50% of matches, while Gnistan has 0% clean sheets and an average xG against of 2.13 versus the home 1.66, suggesting the visitors allow more dangerous situations. Additionally VPS averages 2.4 points per match over the last 5 fixtures versus Gnistan’s 1.4 points, therefore a home victory is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
VPS is in clear offensive form: in the last 5 matches they scored 24 goals (avg 4.8 per match) with last5 xG_for 2.16, indicating strong chance creation. Gnistan has 5 goals in their last 5 (avg 1.0) and last5 xG_for 1.05, however seasonally away they score only 0.5 goals per match and have a low shot conversion of 6%. Defensively Gnistan concedes many chances — xG_against_away = 2.13 and have conceded 10 goals on the road this season — while VPS concedes 2.67 goals per home match on the season, although in the last 5 VPS have conceded only 0.8 on average. BTTS stats are mixed: season BTTS VPS 33% vs Gnistan 50%, but in the last 5 it's 40% and 20% respectively, and in the league BTTS is 50% with 56% clean sheets. Considering VPS's offensive momentum (24 goals in 5 games) and Gnistan's defensive weaknesses (2.13 xG_against, 10 goals conceded this season), I assess the "Yes" scenario (BTTS - Yes / Goal/Goal) as more likely at 62% vs 38%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate a total of approximately 2.80 goals in the match: home VPS ~1.71, away Gnistan ~1.09. VPS season xG is 0.91, while Gnistan concedes season xG of 2.13, which in a simple model yields 1.52 expected goals for the hosts; additionally, in the last 5 matches VPS has an average xG of 2.16 and has scored 24 goals (avg 4.8), so the forecast for VPS increases to ~1.71. For Gnistan, seasonal attacking xG is 0.94, and VPS seasonally concedes xG of 1.53 (simple model ~1.23), but considering the visitors’ last 5 matches (xG 1.05, 5 goals scored) I adjusted the away forecast to ~1.09. The sum 2.80 is above the 2.5 line, therefore Over 1.5 shows the strongest signal (77%), Over 2.5 has a moderate edge (53%), and Over 3.5 is less likely (31%). I recommend betting Over 1.5, because VPS’s high attacking form (24 goals in 5 matches and average xG 2.16) and Gnistan’s vulnerability to conceding (10 conceded in the season, 5 in the last 5) increase the likelihood of at least 2 goals in the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1 — VPS leads at the break and wins the match; I assess it at 55%. In the last 5 matches VPS led at half-time in 4 of 5 games (80%) and won 4 of 5 (80%), with an average half-time goals of 2.8 for VPS versus 0.2 for Gnistan. Seasonally VPS scores on average 1.0 goal per match versus 0.5 for Gnistan, and the home side’s finishing rate is 13% compared to 6% for the visitors; with similar xG (0.91 vs 0.94) this gives VPS an advantage in converting chances into goals. Gnistan has no wins this season (0% wins) and is often level at half-time (seasonal HT data shows 100% draws), so the visitors leading at the break is unlikely (5% overall). Therefore the distribution assigns 55% to 1/1, 12% to X/1 and 10% to X/X as realistic alternatives, 10% to 1/X and small shares to the remaining outcomes.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| VPS | Gnistan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
VPS is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - VPS · 0.8 pts / match - Gnistan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
VPS is 233% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.6 goals / match - VPS · 2 goals / match - Gnistan
VPS scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Gnistan keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Gnistan scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while VPS keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - VPS
Over / Under - Gnistan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
VPS is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - VPS · 1 pts / match - Gnistan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
VPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gnistan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
VPS
Gnistan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| VPS | Liga | Gnistan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.40 | 2.19 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 44% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 33% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 32% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 75% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 40% | 72% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): VPS 0 - 2 - 0 Gnistan. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of VPS vs Gnistan?
The Veikkausliiga match finished VPS 1:1 Gnistan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between VPS and Gnistan?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches VPS won 0, Gnistan won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before VPS vs Gnistan?
VPS score 0.80 goals per game on average and Gnistan 0.80. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 20% of VPS's matches and 40% of Gnistan's.
What form are VPS and Gnistan in?
Over the last 5 games VPS have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Gnistan 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for VPS vs Gnistan?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.