VPS vs Ilves: match statistics
VPS vs Ilves: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
VPS play Ilves in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 24 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
VPS: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Ilves: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
VPS scores 1.44 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. Ilves scores 1.75 and concedes 1.88. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: VPS 56%, Ilves 69%. Over 2.5: VPS 38%, Ilves 75%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
VPS has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.44. VPS: 11.7 shots per match, Ilves: 11.8.
Match halves
VPS: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.63. Ilves: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
VPS: 31-45+ (7 goals). Ilves: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I predict a draw (X). VPS at home records 100% draws and 100% clean sheets with an average of 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per home match, 2 shots on target and 54% possession; in the last 5 matches they have a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss and 1.6 points per game. Ilves have not won away (0% wins), have 50% draws and 50% losses, score an average of 1.5 goals away, but concede 2.0 on average and conceded 12 goals in the last 5 matches, yielding only 0.4 pts per game in that period. In terms of quality of chances VPS at home have xG 1.03 versus xG against 2.11, while Ilves away have xG 1.05 versus xG against 1.53, so Ilves create similar chances but have clear defensive issues. Considering VPS’s 100% home draws and Ilves’s lack of away wins and the points difference (1.6 vs 0.4 PPG in the last 5), I assign the highest probability to a draw (65%), with 10% for a home win and 25% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| VPS | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
VPS is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - VPS · 1.4 pts / match - Ilves
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ilves is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.44 goals / match - VPS · 1.75 goals / match - Ilves
VPS is 132% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.81 goals / match - VPS · 1.88 goals / match - Ilves
VPS scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Ilves keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Ilves scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while VPS keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — VPS
Over / Under — Ilves
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
VPS is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - VPS · 1.38 pts / match - Ilves
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
VPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ilves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
VPS
Ilves
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| VPS | Liga | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.67 | ▲ 3.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 51% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 47% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 28% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 75% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 78% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): VPS 1 - 0 - 1 Ilves. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of VPS vs Ilves?
The Veikkausliiga match finished VPS 3:2 Ilves. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between VPS and Ilves?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches VPS won 1, Ilves won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before VPS vs Ilves?
VPS score 1.44 goals per game on average and Ilves 1.75. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 56% of VPS's matches and 69% of Ilves's.
What form are VPS and Ilves in?
Over the last 5 games VPS have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Ilves 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for VPS vs Ilves?
The statistical background for VPS vs Ilves — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.