VPS vs KuPS: match statistics
VPS vs KuPS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
VPS played KuPS in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 13 June 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
VPS: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. KuPS: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
VPS scores 0.89 and concedes 0.78 goals per match. KuPS scores 1.45 and concedes 0.91. League average: 2.35 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: VPS 44%, KuPS 64%. Over 2.5: VPS 22%, KuPS 36%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
KuPS has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.48. VPS: 12.1 shots per match, KuPS: 14.6.
Match halves
VPS: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.22. KuPS: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
VPS: 0-15 (2 goals). KuPS: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
KuPS is the favorite in this matchup — the visitors have scored 16 goals this season versus VPS’s 8, a higher xG (1.69 vs 1.49) and 2.2 points per match in the last 5 games compared to the home side’s 1.6. KuPS also creates more high-quality chances: average 63% possession and 5.25 shots on target per away match, while VPS at home averages 44% possession and 4.5 shots on target. In the last 5 matches both teams have scored 7 goals each, but KuPS has the better run of results (3 wins and 2 draws) versus VPS (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). VPS has the home advantage — still unbeaten at home (0% losses) and scores 1.5 goals per home game with a conversion rate of 12% versus KuPS’s 10%, which may limit the visitors’ pressure. Considering the higher xG, possession superiority and better form, I give KuPS the greater chances: 55% for an away win, 25% for a VPS win and 20% for a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season stats strongly support BTTS - VPS has BTTS 57% and KuPS 75%, giving a team average of 66% which exceeds the league average of 50%. Both teams create goal chances — xG 1.79 (VPS) and 1.69 (KuPS), totaling around 3.48 xG per match, and average on-target shots of 5.29 and 5.25 per game, with seasonal goal averages of 1.57 and 1.25. KuPS has scored 16 goals this season versus VPS’s 8, and KuPS has 0% clean sheets (VPS 43%), indicating KuPS is typically involved in Goal/Goal matches. A slowdown is that in the last 5 fixtures both teams have BTTS only 40% and goal exchange in the last 5 games was lower (VPS concedes on average 0.6 goals, KuPS 0.4), however the seasonal metrics and high combined xG suggest BTTS risk remains significant. Based on this I assess BTTS - Yes probability at 70% versus 30% for No Goal, therefore I pick 'Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
VPS averages 1.57 goals per game and KuPS 1.25, totaling 2.82 goals per match. xG is 1.79 for VPS and 1.69 for KuPS; accounting for opponents' defensive xG ((1.79+1.13)/2=1.46 for VPS and (1.69+1.01)/2=1.35 for KuPS) expected goals are about 1.46 and 1.35, together 2.81. A Poisson model with lambda=2.81 yields roughly a 77% chance of Over 1.5 goals, about 53% for Over 2.5 and around 31% for Over 3.5, which aligns with seasonal Over rates (VPS Over>1.5: 71%, KuPS Over>1.5: 100%). KuPS has no clean sheets this season (0%), while VPS has 43% clean sheets, so KuPS more often contributes goals to matches. Consequently the strongest signal is the Over line at 1.5 — the lowest threshold with a high probability (~77%) provides the best value.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
VPS has a clear home advantage: on average 2.14 points at home and a 57% win rate, while KuPS earns 1.25 points away and has a 25% win rate. At half-time VPS led in 3 of the last 7 matches (43%) and were level in 4 (57%), whereas KuPS led in only 1 of 4 away games (25%) and were trailing at the break in 2 (50%). In the second half VPS score on average 0.86 goals and concede 0.43, while KuPS score 0.5 and concede 0.5, giving the home side an approximate 0.36 goal advantage after the break (0.86 vs 0.5). VPS also have higher xG (1.79 vs 1.69) and a better half-time profile (VPS score 0.71 and concede 0.29 on average by the break), so the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a VPS win after 90 minutes (HT/FT X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| VPS | KuPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
KuPS is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - VPS · 1.8 pts / match - KuPS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KuPS is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - VPS · 1.45 goals / match - KuPS
VPS is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.78 goals / match - VPS · 0.91 goals / match - KuPS
VPS scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while KuPS keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
KuPS scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while VPS keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - VPS
Over / Under - KuPS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
VPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
KuPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
VPS
KuPS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| VPS | Liga | KuPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.67 | 2.35 | • 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 48% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 40% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 29% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 73% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 73% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): VPS 1 - 1 - 0 KuPS. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of VPS vs KuPS?
The Veikkausliiga match finished VPS 1:1 KuPS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between VPS and KuPS?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches VPS won 1, KuPS won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before VPS vs KuPS?
VPS score 0.89 goals per game on average and KuPS 1.45. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 44% of VPS's matches and 64% of KuPS's.
What form are VPS and KuPS in?
Over the last 5 games VPS have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and KuPS 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for VPS vs KuPS?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for VPS vs KuPS: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.