VPS vs SJK: match statistics
VPS vs SJK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
VPS played SJK in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 10 July 2026. Venue: Elisa Stadion. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
VPS: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. SJK: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
VPS scores 1.50 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. SJK scores 1.29 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: VPS 57%, SJK 64%. Over 2.5: VPS 36%, SJK 57%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
SJK has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.48. VPS: 11.9 shots per match, SJK: 13.8.
Match halves
VPS: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.57. SJK: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
VPS: 31-45+ (7 goals). SJK: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorite is VPS: at home they have 57% wins and 0% losses with a home goal difference of +10, while SJK records only 14% wins away and has a -5 goal difference. VPS averages 2.29 goals per home game with 5.29 shots on target and a conversion rate of 18%, whereas SJK away averages 1.14 goals with 4.43 shots on target and an 11% conversion. Defensively VPS concedes 0.86 goals per home match, and SJK concedes 1.86 on the road; this is supported by xG — VPS has 1.51 xG at home versus 1.33 xG for SJK away, while xGA is 1.29 for VPS against 1.62 for SJK. In the last 5 matches the hosts earned 10 points (3W,1D,1L) and scored 14 goals, while the visitors have 8 points (2-2-1) and 10 goals. Considering higher shot efficiency (18% vs 11%), more shots on target (5.29 vs 4.43) and the fact that SJK fail to register a shot in 43% of away games versus 14% for hosts, I predict a VPS win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The Both Teams To Score (BTTS) scenario is more likely: VPS has a seasonal BTTS rate of 71%, SJK 57%, and the league average is 53%. In the last 5 matches VPS recorded BTTS in 80% of games, SJK in 100%, with average goals of 2.8 for VPS and 2.0 for SJK in that period. The home side’s attack generates xG 1.94 and averages 17.0 shots with 5.57 shots on target per match, while SJK concedes 1.86 goals on average this season and has xG against of 1.62, which increases the likelihood of VPS goals; at the same time SJK has xG 1.33 versus xG against for VPS of 1.27, so the visitors can also create chances. Both teams have only 14% clean sheets, and SJK have conceded 22 goals versus 11 conceded by VPS, which reduces the probability of a no-goal outcome; on this basis I recommend a BTTS — Yes bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Season-long metrics show Over 1.5 occurred in 86% of matches for both VPS and SJK, and in the last 5 meetings both teams registered Over 2.5 in 80% of games, indicating a propensity for fixtures with at least 2–3 goals. xG analysis: VPS has an average xG of 1.94 versus xG conceded to SJK 1.62, yielding expected goals for VPS ≈1.78; SJK has xG 1.33 versus xG conceded to VPS 1.27, yielding ≈1.30, totaling ≈3.08 goals. VPS averages 17 shots and 5.57 shots on target per match compared to SJK’s 10.57 and 4.43, and with seasonal BTTS rates of 71% (VPS) and 57% (SJK) both sides have realistic scoring chances. Seasonally Over 2.5 appeared in 57% of matches involving both teams, but in the form of the last 5 matches this rises to 80%, therefore the projected total of 3.08 goals favors Over 2.5 rather than Under. Based on this I select Over 2.5 as the strongest signal (estimated probability ~72%), while assessing Over 3.5 conservatively at ~38% because the expected total falls just below the 3.5 threshold.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The main arguments in favor of VPS are superiority in xG and chance creation: VPS has an xG of 1.94 versus 1.33 for SJK (a 0.61 differential) and averages 17.0 shots per match compared to SJK’s 10.57. In the last 5 matches VPS has won 60% of games (3 of 5) and led at the break in 60% of those appearances (3 of 5); their average first-half goals in the last 5 is 1.4 versus SJK’s 0.8, suggesting greater home efficiency before the break. VPS has scored at least one goal by half-time in 100% of home matches (7 of 7), while SJK concedes an average of 1.86 goals per match this season, increasing the likelihood of the home side taking and maintaining a lead. Additionally, the season-long "both teams to score" rates are 71% for VPS and 57% for SJK, so I expect goals from both sides but with VPS superiority; therefore the most probable HT/FT scenario is 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| VPS | SJK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
VPS is 38% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - VPS · 1.6 pts / match - SJK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
VPS is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - VPS · 1.29 goals / match - SJK
VPS is 99% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.79 goals / match - VPS · 1.57 goals / match - SJK
VPS scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while SJK keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).
SJK scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while VPS keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - VPS
Over / Under - SJK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
VPS is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - VPS · 1.14 pts / match - SJK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
VPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
SJK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 21%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
VPS
SJK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| VPS | Liga | SJK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.29 | 2.69 | ▲ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 53% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 48% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 74% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 79% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): VPS 2 - 0 - 1 SJK. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of VPS vs SJK?
The Veikkausliiga match finished VPS 1:0 SJK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between VPS and SJK?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches VPS won 2, SJK won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before VPS vs SJK?
VPS score 1.50 goals per game on average and SJK 1.29. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 57% of VPS's matches and 64% of SJK's.
What form are VPS and SJK in?
Over the last 5 games VPS have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and SJK 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for VPS vs SJK?
The statistical background for VPS vs SJK — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.