Wadi Degla vs Ghazl El Mehalla: match statistics
Wadi Degla displays solid form with three victories in the last five matches and an impressive goal difference of 11:4. The hosts possess a clear advantage in ball possession (56% vs 46%) and greater efficiency in creating scoring chances, confirmed by a higher average xG (1.3 vs 0.96). Ghazl El Mehalla is a typical draw-prone team away from home, with as many as 71% of matches ending in shared points, making a draw a realistic scenario. The guests stand out defensively (71% clean sheets away), yet their offense is weak - failing to score in 57% of away matches. Considering the hosts' advantage in key offensive statistics and solid form, a Wadi Degla victory is the most probable result, although the guests' defensive approach could lead to a draw. The class difference and xG metrics favor the hosts.
Wadi Degla vs Ghazl El Mehalla: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wadi Degla played Ghazl El Mehalla in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The match was played on 22 January 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Wadi Degla: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Ghazl El Mehalla: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wadi Degla scores 1.15 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. Ghazl El Mehalla scores 0.54 and concedes 0.31. League average: 1.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wadi Degla 62%, Ghazl El Mehalla 23%. Over 2.5: Wadi Degla 38%, Ghazl El Mehalla 15%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Wadi Degla has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.01. Wadi Degla: 11.0 shots per match, Ghazl El Mehalla: 8.7.
Match halves
Wadi Degla: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.92. Ghazl El Mehalla: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Wadi Degla: 61-75 (5 goals). Ghazl El Mehalla: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Egyptian Premier League: 1.91 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wadi Degla displays solid form with three victories in the last five matches and an impressive goal difference of 11:4. The hosts possess a clear advantage in ball possession (56% vs 46%) and greater efficiency in creating scoring chances, confirmed by a higher average xG (1.3 vs 0.96). Ghazl El Mehalla is a typical draw-prone team away from home, with as many as 71% of matches ending in shared points, making a draw a realistic scenario. The guests stand out defensively (71% clean sheets away), yet their offense is weak - failing to score in 57% of away matches. Considering the hosts' advantage in key offensive statistics and solid form, a Wadi Degla victory is the most probable result, although the guests' defensive approach could lead to a draw. The class difference and xG metrics favor the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wadi Degla | Ghazl El Mehalla | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 22% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ghazl El Mehalla is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Wadi Degla · 1.4 pts / match - Ghazl El Mehalla
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wadi Degla is 113% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Wadi Degla · 0.54 goals / match - Ghazl El Mehalla
Ghazl El Mehalla is 174% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.85 goals / match - Wadi Degla · 0.31 goals / match - Ghazl El Mehalla
Wadi Degla scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Ghazl El Mehalla keeps a clean sheet in 77% (10 of 13 matches).
Ghazl El Mehalla scores in 38% of matches (5 of 13 matches), while Wadi Degla keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wadi Degla
Over / Under - Ghazl El Mehalla
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ghazl El Mehalla is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / match - Wadi Degla · 1.08 pts / match - Ghazl El Mehalla
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wadi Degla - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ghazl El Mehalla - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wadi Degla
Ghazl El Mehalla
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Wadi Degla | Liga | Ghazl El Mehalla | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.00 | 1.91 | ▼ 0.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 43% | ▼ 23% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 33% | ▼ 15% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 38% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal before half-time | • 54% | 55% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal after half-time | • 69% | 68% | ▼ 38% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Wadi Degla vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished Wadi Degla 3:2 Ghazl El Mehalla. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wadi Degla vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Wadi Degla score 1.15 goals per game on average and Ghazl El Mehalla 0.54. The Egyptian Premier League average is 1.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Wadi Degla's matches and 23% of Ghazl El Mehalla's.
What form are Wadi Degla and Ghazl El Mehalla in?
Over the last 5 games Wadi Degla have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ghazl El Mehalla 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wadi Degla vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Wadi Degla vs Ghazl El Mehalla: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.