Walton & Hersham vs Basingstoke Town: match statistics
Walton & Hersham demonstrate a decisive home advantage with an impressive 79% win rate in home matches and a goal difference of +27. The hosts average 2.57 goals per game at home while conceding only 0.64, confirming their offensive dominance and defensive solidity. Basingstoke Town are in terrible form with 4 defeats in their last 5 matches and only 0.2 points per game, and their 50% loss rate away from home along with just 21% away wins indicate serious problems on the road. The difference in team quality is evident both in xG statistics (1.41 vs 1.47 for the visitors, but with significantly better efficiency from the hosts) and in possession (59% vs 48%). Considering all indicators, especially the home dominance of the hosts and the visitors' form crisis, a decisive victory for Walton & Hersham is the most likely scenario.
Walton & Hersham vs Basingstoke Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Walton & Hersham played Basingstoke Town in Southern League Premier South (England). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Walton & Hersham: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Basingstoke Town: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Walton & Hersham scores 2.31 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Basingstoke Town scores 1.30 and concedes 1.53. League average: 3.15 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Walton & Hersham 45%, Basingstoke Town 67%. Over 2.5: Walton & Hersham 62%, Basingstoke Town 57%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Basingstoke Town has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.36. Walton & Hersham: 4.4 shots per match, Basingstoke Town: 0.9.
Match halves
Walton & Hersham: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 1.28. Basingstoke Town: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Walton & Hersham: 76-90+ (18 goals). Basingstoke Town: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Southern League Premier South: 3.15 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Walton & Hersham demonstrate a decisive home advantage with an impressive 79% win rate in home matches and a goal difference of +27. The hosts average 2.57 goals per game at home while conceding only 0.64, confirming their offensive dominance and defensive solidity. Basingstoke Town are in terrible form with 4 defeats in their last 5 matches and only 0.2 points per game, and their 50% loss rate away from home along with just 21% away wins indicate serious problems on the road. The difference in team quality is evident both in xG statistics (1.41 vs 1.47 for the visitors, but with significantly better efficiency from the hosts) and in possession (59% vs 48%). Considering all indicators, especially the home dominance of the hosts and the visitors' form crisis, a decisive victory for Walton & Hersham is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Walton & Hersham | Basingstoke Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | -3% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.31 | 1.83 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.31 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Walton & Hersham is 600% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Walton & Hersham · 0.2 pts / match - Basingstoke Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Walton & Hersham is 78% better for: goals scored per match.
2.31 goals / match - Walton & Hersham · 1.3 goals / match - Basingstoke Town
Walton & Hersham is 78% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.86 goals / match - Walton & Hersham · 1.53 goals / match - Basingstoke Town
Walton & Hersham scores in 90% of matches (26 of 29 matches), while Basingstoke Town keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 30 matches).
Basingstoke Town scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Walton & Hersham keeps a clean sheet in 48% (14 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Walton & Hersham
Over / Under - Basingstoke Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Walton & Hersham is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / match - Walton & Hersham · 1.1 pts / match - Basingstoke Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Walton & Hersham - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Basingstoke Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Walton & Hersham
Basingstoke Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Walton & Hersham | Liga | Basingstoke Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.17 | 3.15 | ▼ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 60% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 22% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 76% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 82% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Walton & HershamGoalMekhi Savage
- Walton & HershamGoalRiley Horan
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Walton & Hersham 1 - 0 - 0 Basingstoke Town. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Walton & Hersham vs Basingstoke Town?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Walton & Hersham 3:2 Basingstoke Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Walton & Hersham vs Basingstoke Town?
Walton & Hersham score 2.31 goals per game on average and Basingstoke Town 1.30. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Walton & Hersham's matches and 67% of Basingstoke Town's.
What form are Walton & Hersham and Basingstoke Town in?
Over the last 5 games Walton & Hersham have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Basingstoke Town 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Walton & Hersham vs Basingstoke Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Walton & Hersham vs Basingstoke Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.