Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado: match statistics
Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wanderers played Deportivo Maldonado in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 24 May 2026. Venue: Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Wanderers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Deportivo Maldonado: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wanderers scores 1.00 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Deportivo Maldonado scores 1.69 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wanderers 50%, Deportivo Maldonado 63%. Over 2.5: Wanderers 56%, Deportivo Maldonado 56%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo Maldonado has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.42. Wanderers: 11.2 shots per match, Deportivo Maldonado: 12.4.
Match halves
Wanderers: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.50. Deportivo Maldonado: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Wanderers: 31-45+ (5 goals). Deportivo Maldonado: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the away win (Deportivo Maldonado) because their season record is markedly superior: 10 wins and 27 goals versus Wanderers’ 6 wins and 16 goals. In the last 5 matches the visitors scored 8 goals and average 2.0 points per game, while the hosts scored 4 goals and average 1.4 points per game, indicating better momentum and efficiency for Deportivo. On paper chance creation is similar – Wanderers at home have average xG 1.40, 10.75 shots and 4.63 on target per game, but convert this into 1.13 goals (10% conversion), whereas Deportivo away posts xG 1.37, 11.38 shots and a higher conversion of 12% (1.38 goals). The visitors also dominate possession (52% vs 44%) and are less likely to be shut out away (13% vs 25%), while Wanderers’ advantage is a slightly better goals-against average at home (1.00 vs 1.25). Considering the higher total goals scored this season (27 vs 16), superior chance conversion and form over the last 5 matches, I estimate probabilities: away win 45%, home win 30%, draw 25%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a seasonal BTTS rate of 63%, which by itself strongly supports Goal/Goal. Wanderers score an average of 2.00 goals at home and have recorded 0% matches without scoring at their stadium, while Deportivo Maldonado averages 1.38 goals away and has 13% matches without a goal — giving a theoretical raw probability of both teams scoring of approximately 100% × 87% ≈ 87%. However, the last 5 matches show divergence: Wanderers have only 40% BTTS and average 0.8 goals, and Deportivo 80% BTTS and 1.6 goals, which slightly undermines the home signal. Chance metrics support BTTS: recent xG is 1.47 for Wanderers and 1.54 for Deportivo, and average shots on target are 5.13 vs 4.0, indicating both teams create chances; at the same time both teams have 38% seasonal clean sheets, so the risk of No Goal is not zero. In summary, considering the 63% season BTTS for both teams, 0% matches without a goal for the home side and 13% for the visitors, but downward adjustment based on the last 5 matches, I tip BTTS = Yes with a probability of 70% versus 30% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model combines xG and form: expected xG is 1.46 for Wanderers and 1.28 for Deportivo, totaling 2.74 goals, above the league average of 2.49. Wanderers score on average 2.0 goals and concede 0.88 per match, while Maldonado averages 1.38 scored and 1.25 conceded, which favors a higher number of home goals. Season stats show Over 1.5 in 75% of matches for both teams, Over 2.5 in 63% of Wanderers’ matches and 50% for Maldonado, whereas Over 3.5 occurs in only 25% of fixtures; this offers strong support for Over 1.5 and moderate support for Over 2.5. Additionally, both teams have BTTS in 63% of games, and Wanderers average 5.13 shots on target versus 4.0 for the visitors, increasing the probability of goals from both sides. Based on this, I recommend an Over on the 1.5 line as the strongest signal, with Over 2.5 as a secondary, moderate option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1 (Wanderers lead at halftime and win), which I assign a 41% probability. The HT model shows the home side leading at the break in ~47% of matches, a halftime draw in ~29%, and the away team leading in ~23% — this stems from Wanderers averaging 1.25 first-half goals versus Maldonado’s 0.75. Over the full match the home team hold the advantage: at home they win 88% of matches, score on average 2.00 goals per game and have an xG of 1.59 versus the visitors’ xG of 1.37; they also register more shots (13.5 vs 11.38) and more on-target shots (5.13 vs 4.0). Therefore the combined chance of a home victory (sum of 1/1, X/1, 2/1) is 66%. However, Maldonado are potent after the break (on average 1.5 away second-half goals and scoring in 88% of their away matches after halftime) and both teams have BTTS at 63%, which raises the risk of a conceding goal in the second half. In summary: 1/1 is the strongest signal (41%) due to advantages in xG, conversion and Wanderers’ 88% home win rate, but I leave moderate probabilities for draws and turnarounds (e.g. X/1 = 18%, 2/2 = 10%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wanderers | Deportivo Maldonado | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportivo Maldonado is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Wanderers · 2 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Maldonado is 69% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Wanderers · 1.69 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Deportivo Maldonado is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - Wanderers · 1.06 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Deportivo Maldonado keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
Deportivo Maldonado scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wanderers
Over / Under - Deportivo Maldonado
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Maldonado is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - Wanderers · 1.94 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Deportivo Maldonado - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Wanderers | Liga | Deportivo Maldonado | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.31 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 48% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 26% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 75% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Wanderers 0 - 1 - 0 Deportivo Maldonado. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado?
The Primera División match finished Wanderers 1:1 Deportivo Maldonado. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Wanderers score 1.00 goals per game on average and Deportivo Maldonado 1.69. The Primera División average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Wanderers's matches and 63% of Deportivo Maldonado's.
What form are Wanderers and Deportivo Maldonado in?
Over the last 5 games Wanderers have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Deportivo Maldonado 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.