Wanderers vs Racing: match statistics
Wanderers vs Racing: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wanderers played Racing in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Wanderers: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Racing: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wanderers scores 1.10 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Racing scores 1.80 and concedes 0.90. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wanderers 50%, Racing 60%. Over 2.5: Wanderers 60%, Racing 50%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Racing has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.49. Wanderers: 11.7 shots per match, Racing: 12.6.
Match halves
Wanderers: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60. Racing: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Wanderers: 31-45+ (3 goals). Racing: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the away win (2). Racing have 7 wins this season versus Wanderers’ 4 and a goal difference of 18-9, while Wanderers are 11-15, indicating superior efficiency and better defensive performance from the visitors. In their last 5 matches Racing recorded 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring 7 and conceding 3, whereas Wanderers have 2 wins and 3 losses with a 7-9 record; this translates to average points of 2.6 for Racing and 1.2 for Wanderers. Away, Racing concede on average 0.75 goals per game and have never finished a match without scoring (0% games without a goal), while Wanderers at home concede 1.2 on average and fail to score in 40% of home matches. Average xG are similar (1.43 for Racing away vs 1.57 for Wanderers at home), but the visitors have better shot conversion 15% vs 11% for the hosts and greater result stability (75% wins away vs 40% at home), therefore I prefer Racing.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I recommend BTTS - Yes with a 65% probability versus 35% for No. Both teams have comparable goal averages: Wanderers 1.83 goals per match, Racing 1.75, and BTTS occurred in 60% of their last 5 fixtures. xG confirms both sides’ goal potential: Wanderers xG 1.64 against Racing xG 1.45, and Racing xG 1.43 against Wanderers xG 1.00, suggesting chance creation from both teams. Racing posts a seasonal BTTS rate of 75% and have scored 18 goals (Wanderers 11); counterarguments include Wanderers’ 50% clean sheets and the fact that in the last 5 matches Wanderers concede on average 1.8 goals versus Racing 0.6; nevertheless the combined xG signals and Racing’s high seasonal BTTS favour Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both Wanderers and Racing show strong attacking potential: Wanderers score an average of 1.83 goals per match and Racing 1.75, conceding on average 1.00 and 0.75 goals respectively. Based on xG: Wanderers' attack has xG 1.64 and Racing concedes xG 1.45, yielding an expected 1.55 goals for the home side; similarly Racing's attack has xG 1.43 and Wanderers concede xG 1.00, giving 1.21 for the visitors, a total of 2.76. Season-long metrics show Over 1.5 occurred in 67% of Wanderers' matches and 75% of Racing's matches, and the percentage of games with Both Teams To Score is 50% and 75% respectively (average 62.5%), which strongly supports the scenario of at least two goals. The 2.5 line has moderate backing — seasonally both teams have 50% Over 2.5, but Wanderers' last 5 matches show 80% Over 2.5, which raises the probability of Over 2.5 to about 62%; meanwhile Over 3.5 is less realistic (seasonally 33% and 25%, league average 2.4 goals). Therefore I recommend betting the Over 1.5 line as the strongest signal, based on the expected 2.76 goals and the high Over 1.5 percentages (67% and 75%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Racing are in clear form: in their last 5 matches they have won 80% of games and average 2.6 points per match, and in 60% of those fixtures they held a lead at the break. Wanderers have led at half-time in only 20% of their last 5 matches and average 0.8 points at half-time; additionally they have conceded 2 goals in the 0–15 minute period. Racing have scored 2 goals in the 0–15 minute window, which combined with Wanderers conceding in that period increases the probability of the visitors holding a lead at the break. Season-long indicators also show both teams frequently score (BTTS 75% for Racing vs 50% for Wanderers) and although xG is 1.64 for Wanderers versus 1.43 for Racing, the recent form over the last 5 matches (80% wins and 60% HT leads for the visitors) supports a victory for the away side. Consequently the most likely scenario is 2/2 (Half-Time/Full-Time: visitors lead at the break and win), therefore this is the recommended pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wanderers | Racing | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Racing is 117% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Wanderers · 2.6 pts / match - Racing
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Racing is 64% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Wanderers · 1.8 goals / match - Racing
Racing is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Wanderers · 0.9 goals / match - Racing
Wanderers scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Racing keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
Racing scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wanderers
Over / Under - Racing
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Racing is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Wanderers · 1.7 pts / match - Racing
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Racing - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wanderers
Racing
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Wanderers | Liga | Racing | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.60 | 2.42 | ▲ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 49% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 28% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 76% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Wanderers 0 - 1 - 1 Racing. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wanderers vs Racing?
The Primera División match finished Wanderers 1:2 Racing. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Wanderers and Racing?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Wanderers won 0, Racing won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Wanderers vs Racing?
Wanderers score 1.10 goals per game on average and Racing 1.80. The Primera División average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Wanderers's matches and 60% of Racing's.
What form are Wanderers and Racing in?
Over the last 5 games Wanderers have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Racing 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wanderers vs Racing?
The statistical background for Wanderers vs Racing — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


