Warri Wolves vs Barau: match statistics
Warri Wolves display significantly better home form with 38% wins at home and an impressive goal difference of +5 on their own ground. The hosts score an average of 1 goal per match in home games with an xG of 1.69, indicating solid offensive efficiency. Conversely, Barau performs very poorly on the road – with just 8% away wins, averaging only 0.33 goals per match, and failing to score in 83% of games. The visitors' negative away goal difference (-10) and significantly lower xG (1.01) compared to Warri Wolves confirm the hosts' advantage. Although Barau's recent form is better (1.8 PPG), their catastrophic away statistics point towards a Warri Wolves victory, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to the hosts' high defensive efficiency (62% clean sheets).
Warri Wolves vs Barau: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Warri Wolves played Barau in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Warri Wolves: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Barau: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Warri Wolves scores 0.96 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Barau scores 0.84 and concedes 0.92. League average: 1.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Warri Wolves 38%, Barau 32%. Over 2.5: Warri Wolves 27%, Barau 20%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 25%.
xG, shots and style
Warri Wolves has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.39. Warri Wolves: 5.5 shots per match, Barau: 6.0.
Match halves
Warri Wolves: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.58. Barau: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Warri Wolves: 46-60 (8 goals). Barau: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.83 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 25%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Warri Wolves display significantly better home form with 38% wins at home and an impressive goal difference of +5 on their own ground. The hosts score an average of 1 goal per match in home games with an xG of 1.69, indicating solid offensive efficiency. Conversely, Barau performs very poorly on the road – with just 8% away wins, averaging only 0.33 goals per match, and failing to score in 83% of games. The visitors' negative away goal difference (-10) and significantly lower xG (1.01) compared to Warri Wolves confirm the hosts' advantage. Although Barau's recent form is better (1.8 PPG), their catastrophic away statistics point towards a Warri Wolves victory, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to the hosts' high defensive efficiency (62% clean sheets).
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Warri Wolves | Barau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 22% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.64 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Barau is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Warri Wolves · 1.8 pts / match - Barau
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Warri Wolves is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
0.96 goals / match - Warri Wolves · 0.84 goals / match - Barau
Barau is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Warri Wolves · 0.92 goals / match - Barau
Warri Wolves scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Barau keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
Barau scores in 44% of matches (11 of 25 matches), while Warri Wolves keeps a clean sheet in 42% (11 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Warri Wolves
Over / Under - Barau
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Barau is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Warri Wolves · 1.12 pts / match - Barau
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Warri Wolves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Barau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Warri Wolves
Barau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Warri Wolves | Liga | Barau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.96 | 1.83 | • 1.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 38% | 36% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 27% | 25% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 38% | ▼ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 62% | 60% | • 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 58% | 60% | ▼ 52% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Warri Wolves 1 - 0 - 0 Barau. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Warri Wolves vs Barau?
The NPFL match finished Warri Wolves 0:0 Barau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Warri Wolves vs Barau?
Warri Wolves score 0.96 goals per game on average and Barau 0.84. The NPFL average is 1.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 25% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Warri Wolves's matches and 32% of Barau's.
What form are Warri Wolves and Barau in?
Over the last 5 games Warri Wolves have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Barau 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Warri Wolves vs Barau?
The statistical background for Warri Wolves vs Barau — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.