Warri Wolves vs Nasarawa United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Warri Wolves played Nasarawa United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 30 November 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Warri Wolves: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Nasarawa United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Warri Wolves scores 0.93 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Nasarawa United scores 1.14 and concedes 0.64. League average: 1.81 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Warri Wolves 43%, Nasarawa United 36%. Over 2.5: Warri Wolves 21%, Nasarawa United 29%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 24%.

xG, shots and style

Nasarawa United has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.39. Warri Wolves: 4.6 shots per match, Nasarawa United: 9.4.

Match halves

Warri Wolves: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.36. Nasarawa United: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Warri Wolves: 16-30 (4 goals). Nasarawa United: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 1.81 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 24%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

-1Possession (%)-1
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
-1Shots-1
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
-1Shots on target-1
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
0xG0
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
-1Corners-1
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
0Dangerous attacks0
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
-1Fouls-1
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
-1Cards-1
Warri WolvesNasarawa United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Warri WolvesNasarawa United
0.93Goals scored / match1.14
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
0.86Goals conceded / match0.64
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
28%Average possession44%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
1.79Shots on target / match3.29
Warri WolvesNasarawa United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

4.57Shots per match9.43
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
1.79Shots on target3.29
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
20.3%Shot conversion12.1%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
28%Possession44%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
1.39xG for1.57
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
2.04xG against1.49
Warri WolvesNasarawa United

Shooting quality

Warri Wolves: Counter-attackingNasarawa United: Counter-attacking
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
Accuracy (shots on target)39%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.300.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.520.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nasarawa United is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Warri Wolves · 1.6 pts / match - Nasarawa United

Warri Wolves
WDLLD
Season result split
36% W29% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-5
1.36 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-2
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.77BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Nasarawa United
LWDDW
Season result split
57% W21% D21% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-3-3
1.93 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-3
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WWLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.80Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nasarawa United is 23% better for: goals scored per match.

0.93 goals / match - Warri Wolves · 1.14 goals / match - Nasarawa United

Nasarawa United is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.86 goals / match - Warri Wolves · 0.64 goals / match - Nasarawa United

Warri Wolves scoring profile: strong

Warri Wolves scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Nasarawa United keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 matches).

Nasarawa United scoring profile: strong

Nasarawa United scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Warri Wolves keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 matches).

13Goals scored (season)16
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
12Goals conceded (season)9
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
1.79Average goals in match1.79
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
5Goals scored (last 5)7
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
Warri WolvesNasarawa United

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal71%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
21%2 goals36%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
0%3 goals7%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
0%4 goals0%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal57%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
21%2 goals7%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
0%3 goals0%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
0%4 goals0%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

36%
League average

Goal patterns

36%BTTS at half-time29%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
21%Scored in both halves36%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United

BTTS and goal count

21%Min. 3 goals and BTTS21%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
60%BTTS - last 560%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time57%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
7%Min. 2 goals after half-time7%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nasarawa United is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.29 pts / match - Warri Wolves · 1.5 pts / match - Nasarawa United

Warri Wolves - half-time state
21% leading64% draw14% trailing
Nasarawa United - half-time state
36% leading43% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per match (1st half)1.5
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.64
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
1.14Average goals (1st half)1.14
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
43%No goal before half-time36%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.36Points per match (2nd half)1.71
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
0.36Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
0.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.14
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
0.64Average goals (2nd half)0.64
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
79%Clean sheet after half-time86%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United
64%No goal after half-time57%
Warri WolvesNasarawa United

Warri Wolves - second-half results

29% W50% D21% L
18
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding171%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nasarawa United - second-half results

43% W43% D14% L
21
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding158%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Warri Wolves - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match1.00.2
Average goals in match1.80.4
1 goal100%40%
2 goals80%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Nasarawa United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.40.8
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Warri Wolves
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
4
4
16-30
2
3
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Nasarawa United
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
6
3
31-45
2
0
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.79
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Warri Wolves

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.65
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.72
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
151%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.36
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Nasarawa United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.85
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
200%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
52%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Warri WolvesLigaNasarawa United
Average goals in match 1.791.81 1.79
Both teams scored 43%36% 36%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 21%24% 29%
Clean sheets 36%38% 43%
Goal before half-time 71%64% 86%
Goal after half-time 50%57% 57%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.81
Average goals per match
36%
Both teams scored
24%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.24
Home goals / match
0.57
Away goals / match
+118%
Home attack advantage
+54%
Home defence advantage
+45%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
3%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

FAQ

What was the result of Warri Wolves vs Nasarawa United?

The NPFL match finished Warri Wolves 1:0 Nasarawa United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Warri Wolves vs Nasarawa United?

Warri Wolves score 0.93 goals per game on average and Nasarawa United 1.14. The NPFL average is 1.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 24% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Warri Wolves's matches and 36% of Nasarawa United's.

What form are Warri Wolves and Nasarawa United in?

Over the last 5 games Warri Wolves have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Nasarawa United 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Warri Wolves vs Nasarawa United?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Warri Wolves vs Nasarawa United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.