Warri Wolves vs Rivers United: match statistics
Warri Wolves vs Rivers United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Warri Wolves play Rivers United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 5 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Warri Wolves: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Rivers United: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Warri Wolves scores 0.95 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Rivers United scores 1.16 and concedes 0.82. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Warri Wolves 37%, Rivers United 39%. Over 2.5: Warri Wolves 34%, Rivers United 34%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Rivers United has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.34. Warri Wolves: 4.9 shots per match, Rivers United: 7.7.
Match halves
Warri Wolves: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.61. Rivers United: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Warri Wolves: 46-60 (11 goals). Rivers United: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a Warri Wolves win (1), based on the hosts’ clear superiority in chance quality — on average 12.5 shots and 4.83 on target per home match versus Rivers United’s 8 shots and 2.62 on target away, with conversion rates of 9% and 8% respectively. Hosts generate higher xG at home (1.69) than visitors away (1.11), indicating better chance creation by Warri. Additionally, Warri concede only 0.56 goals per home match on average and keep a clean sheet in 63% of games, while Rivers concede 1.13 goals away and have 31% clean sheets, giving the hosts a clear defensive edge. In the form of the last 5 matches Warri scored 6 and conceded 7 (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses, 1.0 points per game), while Rivers scored 6 and conceded 10 (1 win, 4 losses, 0.6 points per game), which confirms the visitors’ weaker form. Considering this, I assess the probabilities as 60% for the hosts, 25% for a draw and 15% for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Warri Wolves | Rivers United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.52 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rivers United is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Warri Wolves · 2.4 pts / match - Rivers United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rivers United is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Warri Wolves · 1.16 goals / match - Rivers United
Rivers United is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - Warri Wolves · 0.82 goals / match - Rivers United
Warri Wolves scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Rivers United keeps a clean sheet in 50% (19 of 38 matches).
Rivers United scores in 76% of matches (29 of 38 matches), while Warri Wolves keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Warri Wolves
Over / Under — Rivers United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rivers United is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Warri Wolves · 1.13 pts / match - Rivers United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Warri Wolves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rivers United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Warri Wolves
Rivers United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Warri Wolves | Liga | Rivers United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.03 | 2.02 | • 1.97 |
| Both teams scored | • 37% | 38% | • 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 34% | 34% | • 34% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 37% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | • 61% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 64% | ▲ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Warri Wolves 0 - 0 - 1 Rivers United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Warri Wolves vs Rivers United?
The NPFL match finished Warri Wolves 2:0 Rivers United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Warri Wolves vs Rivers United?
Warri Wolves score 0.95 goals per game on average and Rivers United 1.16. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Warri Wolves's matches and 39% of Rivers United's.
What form are Warri Wolves and Rivers United in?
Over the last 5 games Warri Wolves have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Rivers United 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Warri Wolves vs Rivers United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Warri Wolves vs Rivers United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.