Warta Gorzów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój: match statistics
Warta Gorzów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Warta Gorzów play Goczałkowice Zdrój in 3 Liga Group 3 (Poland). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Warta Gorzów: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Goczałkowice Zdrój: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Warta Gorzów scores 1.56 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Goczałkowice Zdrój scores 1.44 and concedes 1.38. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Warta Gorzów 65%, Goczałkowice Zdrój 53%. Over 2.5: Warta Gorzów 65%, Goczałkowice Zdrój 65%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Goczałkowice Zdrój has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.40. Warta Gorzów: 7.2 shots per match, Goczałkowice Zdrój: 7.5.
Match halves
Warta Gorzów: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.44. Goczałkowice Zdrój: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Warta Gorzów: 0-15 (34 goals). Goczałkowice Zdrój: 0-15 (24 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 3: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back the home win (1) because Warta Gorzów has a clear home advantage: at home they score 1.85 goals per game with xG 1.57 and register 5.4 shots on target per game, while Goczałkowice Zdrój away average 1.23 goals, xG 1.45 and 3.63 shots on target. Warta converts chances better (12% vs 8%) and fails to score in only 8% of home matches, whereas the visitors are goalless in 38% of their away fixtures. Defensively the hosts concede 1.31 goals per home game (xG against 1.12), and Goczałkowice concede 1.62 on the road (xG against 1.37), giving Warta a home xG differential of +0.45 versus +0.08 for the visitors. Form also favors the hosts: Warta over the last 5 matches are 1-3-1 (4 scored/5 conceded) averaging 1.2 points per game, while Goczałkowice are 1-1-3 (3/9) averaging 0.8 points per game. Considering better efficiency, more clear-cut chances and a favorable home goal balance (+7 vs -5 away for the visitors), I assess probabilities at 60% home, 25% draw, 15% away.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Warta Gorzów | Goczałkowice Zdrój | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.54 | 0.51 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Warta Gorzów is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Warta Gorzów · 1.4 pts / match - Goczałkowice Zdrój
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Warta Gorzów is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.56 goals / match - Warta Gorzów · 1.44 goals / match - Goczałkowice Zdrój
Warta Gorzów scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Goczałkowice Zdrój keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
Goczałkowice Zdrój scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Warta Gorzów keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Warta Gorzów
Over / Under — Goczałkowice Zdrój
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Warta Gorzów is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / match - Warta Gorzów · 0.97 pts / match - Goczałkowice Zdrój
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Warta Gorzów - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Goczałkowice Zdrój - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (34 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (24 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Warta Gorzów
Goczałkowice Zdrój
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 3).
Teams vs league
| Warta Gorzów | Liga | Goczałkowice Zdrój | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.94 | 3.20 | ▼ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 58% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 65% | 66% | • 65% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 24% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 47% | 42% | ▼ 35% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 41% | 44% | ▼ 41% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Warta Gorzów 0 - 0 - 1 Goczałkowice Zdrój. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Warta Gorzów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
The 3 Liga Group 3 match finished Warta Gorzów 1:2 Goczałkowice Zdrój. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Warta Gorzów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Warta Gorzów score 1.56 goals per game on average and Goczałkowice Zdrój 1.44. The 3 Liga Group 3 average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Warta Gorzów's matches and 53% of Goczałkowice Zdrój's.
What form are Warta Gorzów and Goczałkowice Zdrój in?
Over the last 5 games Warta Gorzów have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Goczałkowice Zdrój 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Warta Gorzów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Warta Gorzów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.