Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II: match statistics
Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Warta Gorzów play Zagłębie Lubin II in 3 Liga Group 3 (Poland). The match date is 15 May 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Warta Gorzów: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Zagłębie Lubin II: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Warta Gorzów scores 1.56 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Zagłębie Lubin II scores 2.24 and concedes 1.85. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Warta Gorzów 65%, Zagłębie Lubin II 67%. Over 2.5: Warta Gorzów 65%, Zagłębie Lubin II 79%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Zagłębie Lubin II has higher xG: 1.86 vs 1.40. Warta Gorzów: 7.2 shots per match, Zagłębie Lubin II: 12.3.
Match halves
Warta Gorzów: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.44. Zagłębie Lubin II: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Warta Gorzów: 0-15 (34 goals). Zagłębie Lubin II: 0-15 (46 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 3: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a Warta Gorzów win. At home the hosts average 1.73 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game; in their last 5 matches they have conceded a total of 4 goals, while Zagłębie Lubin II have conceded 12 in their last five and concede an average of 1.71 on the road. Statistically Zagłębie possess the stronger attack — 69 goals scored this season vs 50 for Warta, higher xG (1.76 vs 1.43), more shots on target (6.22 vs 5.08) and a superior conversion rate (18% vs 12%). However, Warta rarely fail to score (share of goalless matches 7% vs 21%), have a higher home win rate (47% vs Zagłębie’s 36% away wins) and slightly better points per game in form (1.4 vs 1.2), which gives them the edge in the head-to-head. Given the hosts’ improved defensive form recently and their efficiency in avoiding goalless draws, I expect Warta to have the better chances of taking all three points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Warta Gorzów | Zagłębie Lubin II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.54 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Warta Gorzów is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Warta Gorzów · 1.2 pts / match - Zagłębie Lubin II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zagłębie Lubin II is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.56 goals / match - Warta Gorzów · 2.24 goals / match - Zagłębie Lubin II
Warta Gorzów is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Warta Gorzów · 1.85 goals / match - Zagłębie Lubin II
Warta Gorzów scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Zagłębie Lubin II keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 33 matches).
Zagłębie Lubin II scores in 85% of matches (28 of 33 matches), while Warta Gorzów keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Warta Gorzów
Over / Under — Zagłębie Lubin II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Warta Gorzów is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / match - Warta Gorzów · 1.06 pts / match - Zagłębie Lubin II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Warta Gorzów - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Zagłębie Lubin II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (34 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (46 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (35). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Warta Gorzów
Zagłębie Lubin II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 3).
Teams vs league
| Warta Gorzów | Liga | Zagłębie Lubin II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.94 | 3.20 | ▲ 4.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 65% | 66% | ▲ 79% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 24% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 47% | 42% | ▼ 36% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 41% | 44% | ▲ 48% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Warta Gorzów 0 - 0 - 1 Zagłębie Lubin II. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
The 3 Liga Group 3 match finished Warta Gorzów 1:2 Zagłębie Lubin II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
Warta Gorzów score 1.56 goals per game on average and Zagłębie Lubin II 2.24. The 3 Liga Group 3 average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Warta Gorzów's matches and 67% of Zagłębie Lubin II's.
What form are Warta Gorzów and Zagłębie Lubin II in?
Over the last 5 games Warta Gorzów have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Zagłębie Lubin II 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
The statistical background for Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.