Ireland - Premier DivisionData current as of 19 October 2026

Waterford vs Drogheda United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Waterford vs Drogheda United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Waterford play Drogheda United in Premier Division (Ireland). The match date is 23 October 2026.

Current form

Waterford: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Drogheda United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Waterford scores 1.36 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Drogheda United scores 1.21 and concedes 1.59. League average: 2.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Waterford 61%, Drogheda United 59%. Over 2.5: Waterford 48%, Drogheda United 53%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Waterford has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.18. Waterford: 13.4 shots per match, Drogheda United: 10.5.

Match halves

Waterford: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.73. Drogheda United: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.68.

Goals by minute

Waterford: 31-45+ (14 goals). Drogheda United: 0-15 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier Division: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 2-3-2. Average goals 2.71, BTTS 43%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.10)
(3.55)
(3.16)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

WaterfordDrogheda United
1.36Goals scored / match1.21
WaterfordDrogheda United
1.7Goals conceded / match1.59
WaterfordDrogheda United
38%Average possession39%
WaterfordDrogheda United
4.15Shots on target / match3.41
WaterfordDrogheda United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.36Shots per match10.53
WaterfordDrogheda United
4.15Shots on target3.41
WaterfordDrogheda United
10.2%Shot conversion11.5%
WaterfordDrogheda United
38%Possession39%
WaterfordDrogheda United
1.45xG for1.18
WaterfordDrogheda United
1.91xG against1.71
WaterfordDrogheda United

Shooting quality

Waterford: BalancedDrogheda United: Balanced
WaterfordDrogheda United
Accuracy (shots on target)31%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Drogheda United is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Waterford · 1.8 pts / match - Drogheda United

Waterford
WDDLL
Season result split
21% W39% D39% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-13-13
1.03 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-9-3
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DWWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Drogheda United
WWLLW
Season result split
26% W29% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-10-15
1.09 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-9
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DDWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.88BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Waterford is 12% better for: goals scored per match.

1.36 goals / match - Waterford · 1.21 goals / match - Drogheda United

Drogheda United is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.7 goals / match - Waterford · 1.59 goals / match - Drogheda United

Waterford scoring profile: strong

Waterford scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while Drogheda United keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).

Drogheda United scoring profile: very strong

Drogheda United scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Waterford keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 33 matches).

45Goals scored (season)41
WaterfordDrogheda United
56Goals conceded (season)54
WaterfordDrogheda United
3.06Average goals in match2.79
WaterfordDrogheda United
8Goals scored (last 5)8
WaterfordDrogheda United
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
WaterfordDrogheda United

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal76%
WaterfordDrogheda United
39%2 goals35%
WaterfordDrogheda United
21%3 goals6%
WaterfordDrogheda United
6%4 goals3%
WaterfordDrogheda United

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal71%
WaterfordDrogheda United
52%2 goals59%
WaterfordDrogheda United
21%3 goals24%
WaterfordDrogheda United
12%4 goals6%
WaterfordDrogheda United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
League average

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time21%
WaterfordDrogheda United
12%BTTS in both halves3%
WaterfordDrogheda United
30%Scored in both halves12%
WaterfordDrogheda United

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS53%
WaterfordDrogheda United
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
WaterfordDrogheda United
80%BTTS - last 560%
WaterfordDrogheda United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
WaterfordDrogheda United
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
WaterfordDrogheda United
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
WaterfordDrogheda United

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
WaterfordDrogheda United
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
WaterfordDrogheda United
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
WaterfordDrogheda United

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Waterford - half-time state
24% leading39% draw36% trailing
Drogheda United - half-time state
26% leading29% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.12Points per match (1st half)1.09
WaterfordDrogheda United
0.64Goals scored (1st half)0.53
WaterfordDrogheda United
0.76Goals conceded (1st half)0.82
WaterfordDrogheda United
1.39Average goals (1st half)1.35
WaterfordDrogheda United
39%Clean sheet before half-time41%
WaterfordDrogheda United
48%No goal before half-time62%
WaterfordDrogheda United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per match (2nd half)1.35
WaterfordDrogheda United
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
WaterfordDrogheda United
0.94Goals conceded (2nd half)0.76
WaterfordDrogheda United
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.44
WaterfordDrogheda United
42%Clean sheet after half-time47%
WaterfordDrogheda United
52%No goal after half-time50%
WaterfordDrogheda United

Waterford - second-half results

30% W27% D42% L
37
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.12
PPG before half-time
Lead holding88%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Drogheda United - second-half results

35% W29% D35% L
37
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Waterford - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Drogheda United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.20
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.2
Average goals in match1.81.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Waterford
ScoredConceded
3
9
0-15
4
9
16-30
14
7
31-45
8
7
46-60
6
9
61-75
10
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Drogheda United
ScoredConceded
9
5
0-15
3
14
16-30
6
9
31-45
6
7
46-60
9
10
61-75
8
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.93
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-7%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Waterford

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
134%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Drogheda United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.71
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).

Teams vs league

WaterfordLigaDrogheda United
Average goals in match▲ 3.062.79• 2.79
Both teams scored• 61%61%▼ 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 48%52%• 53%
Clean sheets▼ 18%24%▲ 29%
Goal before half-time▲ 82%74%▲ 76%
Goal after half-time▲ 79%77%▲ 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+20%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Waterford 2 - 3 - 2 Drogheda United. Average goals 2.71, both teams scored in 43% matches.

Drogheda United
3 : 3
Waterford
Waterford
2 : 1
Drogheda United
Drogheda United
2 : 0
Waterford
Waterford FC
2 : 0
Drogheda United FC
Drogheda United FC
0 : 0
Waterford FC
Waterford FC
2 : 2
Drogheda United FC
Drogheda United FC
2 : 0
Waterford FC

FAQ

When do Waterford and Drogheda United play?

Waterford face Drogheda United on 23 October 2026 in Premier Division. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Waterford and Drogheda United?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Waterford won 2, Drogheda United won 2 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.71 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Waterford vs Drogheda United?

Waterford score 1.36 goals per game on average and Drogheda United 1.21. The Premier Division average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Waterford's matches and 59% of Drogheda United's.

What form are Waterford and Drogheda United in?

Over the last 5 games Waterford have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Drogheda United 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Waterford vs Drogheda United?

The statistical background for Waterford vs Drogheda United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.