Watford vs Burnley: match statistics
Watford vs Burnley: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Watford played Burnley in Championship (England). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Vicarage Road. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Watford: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Burnley: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Watford scores 0.88 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Burnley scores 1.13 and concedes 2.13. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Watford 63%, Burnley 100%. Over 2.5: Watford 38%, Burnley 63%. League level: BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Burnley has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.26. Watford: 11.6 shots per match, Burnley: 13.3.
Match halves
Watford: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.38. Burnley: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Watford: 0-15 (2 goals). Burnley: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Watford have the home advantage: they have won 50% of their home matches, while Burnley have lost 75% of their away games and are still without a win this season. The hosts average 1.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded at home, whereas the visitors score 1 goal and concede as many as 2.75 per away match. Burnley do, however, create slightly better chances, with an away xG of 1.58 compared with Watford’s 1.39 at home, so the hosts’ defence cannot afford any mistakes. Both teams have picked up 3 points from their last five matches, but Watford have managed to win one game, while Burnley are still waiting for their first victory. The visitors’ defensive frailties and poor away record favour Watford, although their evenly matched recent points return leaves a significant chance of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In the seasonal statistics considered, both teams have recorded BTTS in 100% of matches, and neither has kept a clean sheet or finished a game without scoring. Watford average 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, while Burnley score 1 goal and concede as many as 2.75, which favors the hosts finding the net. Burnley’s chances of scoring are supported by an average xG of 1.58, compared with Watford’s 1.4 xG conceded. However, Watford’s last five matches warrant caution: they scored just 0.6 goals per game in that run, with BTTS landing in 40% of those games, compared with 100% for Burnley. Despite Watford’s reduced attacking output, both sides’ tendency to concede makes both teams to score more likely than at least one team failing to score (BTTS - No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick: this line has been exceeded in 100% of the teams’ matches to date, and neither side has kept a clean sheet. Watford average 1.25 goals scored and 1.50 conceded, while Burnley score 1.00 and concede as many as 2.75, pointing to goals at both ends. The xG figures also support the prospect of goals: 1.18 for Watford and 1.58 for Burnley, although their average scoring rates have fallen to 0.60 and 1.00 respectively over their last five matches. Therefore, with a projected total of 2.60 goals, Over 1.5 has a clearer edge than Over 2.5, even though the latter has landed in 50% of Watford’s matches and 75% of Burnley’s.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest pre-break signal favors Burnley: Watford were trailing at half-time in all of their last five matches, while Burnley were leading at the break in two of five. At home, Watford averaged 0.25 goals before half-time, compared with Burnley’s 0.75 goals away from home. The balance could shift after the break: Watford averaged 1.0 second-half goals at home, while Burnley conceded 1.25 away. In addition, Burnley lost the second half in three of their four away matches, while Watford drew three of their four home games. Therefore, the most likely scenario appears to be the visitors leading at the break before the match ends level, although this outcome has only a narrow edge.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Watford | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Burnley is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Watford · 1.13 goals / match - Burnley
Watford is 70% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Watford · 2.13 goals / match - Burnley
Watford scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Burnley keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).
Burnley scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Watford
Over / Under - Burnley
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Burnley is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.63 pts / match - Watford · 1 pts / match - Burnley
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Watford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Burnley - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Watford
Burnley
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Watford | Liga | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.13 | 2.88 | ▲ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 63% | 69% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 63% | • 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 19% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 38% | 77% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Watford vs Burnley?
The Championship match finished Watford 0:4 Burnley. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Watford vs Burnley?
Watford score 0.88 goals per game on average and Burnley 1.13. The Championship average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Watford's matches and 100% of Burnley's.
What form are Watford and Burnley in?
Over the last 5 games Watford have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Burnley 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Watford vs Burnley?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Watford vs Burnley: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.