Watford vs Middlesbrough: match statistics
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Watford vs Middlesbrough: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Watford play Middlesbrough in Championship (England). The match date is 7 November 2026. Venue: Vicarage Road.
Current form
Watford: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Middlesbrough: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Watford scores 0.92 and concedes 1.77 goals per match. Middlesbrough scores 2.31 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Watford 54%, Middlesbrough 77%. Over 2.5: Watford 46%, Middlesbrough 77%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Middlesbrough has higher xG: 2.14 vs 1.30. Watford: 11.9 shots per match, Middlesbrough: 19.8.
Match halves
Watford: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.46. Middlesbrough: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 1.38.
Goals by minute
Watford: 76-90+ (4 goals). Middlesbrough: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Watford | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Middlesbrough is 333% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Watford · 2.6 pts / match - Middlesbrough
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Middlesbrough is 151% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Watford · 2.31 goals / match - Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.77 goals / match - Watford · 1.31 goals / match - Middlesbrough
Watford scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while Middlesbrough keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
Middlesbrough scores in 100% of matches (13 of 13 matches), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Watford
Over / Under - Middlesbrough
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Middlesbrough is 168% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.69 pts / match - Watford · 1.85 pts / match - Middlesbrough
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Watford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Middlesbrough - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Watford
Middlesbrough
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Watford | Liga | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.69 | 2.93 | ▲ 3.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 62% | ▲ 77% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 62% | ▲ 77% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 22% | • 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 78% | • 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 54% | 79% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Watford 1 - 0 - 1 Middlesbrough. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Watford and Middlesbrough play?
Watford face Middlesbrough on 7 November 2026 in Championship at Vicarage Road. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Watford and Middlesbrough?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Watford won 1, Middlesbrough won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Watford vs Middlesbrough?
Watford score 0.92 goals per game on average and Middlesbrough 2.31. The Championship average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Watford's matches and 77% of Middlesbrough's.
What form are Watford and Middlesbrough in?
Over the last 5 games Watford have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Middlesbrough 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Watford vs Middlesbrough?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.