England - Championship25/11/2025, 19:45Data current as of 13 September 2026

Watford vs Preston North End: match statistics

Watford

1 : 1half-time 1:1

Preston North End

150%(2.20)

X30%(3.20)

220%(3.30)

BTTS Over/Under HT/FT

Pick: 1Lost

Pick score:41.71

Value:10.00%

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Watford vs Preston North End: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Watford played Preston North End in Championship (England). The match was played on 25 November 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Watford: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Preston North End: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Watford scores 1.38 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Preston North End scores 1.31 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Watford 69%, Preston North End 56%. Over 2.5: Watford 56%, Preston North End 44%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Watford has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.29. Watford: 13.6 shots per match, Preston North End: 11.3.

Match halves

Watford: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Preston North End: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.63.

Goals by minute

Watford: 31-45+ (5 goals). Preston North End: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 1

1st half

0 : 0

2nd half

Match statistics

58Possession (%)42

WatfordPreston North End

24Shots9

WatfordPreston North End

5Shots on target3

WatfordPreston North End

2.24xG1.02

WatfordPreston North End

6Corners2

WatfordPreston North End

54Dangerous attacks34

WatfordPreston North End

11Fouls10

WatfordPreston North End

2Cards4

WatfordPreston North End

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.44Points per match1.63

WatfordPreston North End

1.38Goals scored / match1.31

WatfordPreston North End

1.25Goals conceded / match1

WatfordPreston North End

1.48xG for1.29

WatfordPreston North End

51%Average possession46%

WatfordPreston North End

4.75Shots on target / match3.63

WatfordPreston North End

6%Clean sheets31%

WatfordPreston North End

69%Both teams scored56%

WatfordPreston North End

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.56Shots per match11.25

WatfordPreston North End

4.75Shots on target3.63

WatfordPreston North End

10.1%Shot conversion11.7%

WatfordPreston North End

51%Possession46%

WatfordPreston North End

1.48xG for1.29

WatfordPreston North End

1.44xG against1.38

WatfordPreston North End

Shooting quality

Watford: BalancedPreston North End: Balanced

	Watford	Preston North End
Accuracy (shots on target)	35%	32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)	0.11	0.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)	0.29	0.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Preston North End is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Watford · 2 pts / match - Preston North End

Watford

LWDDW

Season result split

38% W31% D31% L

Season (W-D-L)

6-5-5

1.44 pts / match · goal difference +2

Last 5 (W-D-L)

2-2-1

1.60 pts / match

Record at home (W-D-L)

5-2-1

Last 5 at home

4-1-0

WWWWD

Last 5 matches - averages

Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Preston North End

WWWDL

Season result split

44% W31% D25% L

Season (W-D-L)

7-5-4

1.63 pts / match · goal difference +5

Last 5 (W-D-L)

3-1-1

2.00 pts / match

Record away (W-D-L)

2-3-2

Last 5 away

2-2-1

WDLWD

Last 5 matches - averages

Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Watford is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

1.38 goals / match - Watford · 1.31 goals / match - Preston North End

Preston North End is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.25 goals / match - Watford · 1 goals / match - Preston North End

Watford scoring profile: strong

Watford scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Preston North End keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).

Preston North End scoring profile: very strong

Preston North End scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 16 matches).

22Goals scored (season)21

WatfordPreston North End

20Goals conceded (season)16

WatfordPreston North End

2.63Average goals in match2.31

WatfordPreston North End

9Goals scored (last 5)9

WatfordPreston North End

7Goals conceded (last 5)6

WatfordPreston North End

Watford

Clean sheets1 of 16 matches

25%

No goal4 of 16 matches

Preston North End

31%

Clean sheets5 of 16 matches

19%

No goal3 of 16 matches

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal81%

WatfordPreston North End

50%2 goals44%

WatfordPreston North End

13%3 goals6%

WatfordPreston North End

0%4 goals0%

WatfordPreston North End

How often they concede at least...

94%1 goal69%

WatfordPreston North End

25%2 goals31%

WatfordPreston North End

6%3 goals0%

WatfordPreston North End

0%4 goals0%

WatfordPreston North End

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

69%

Watford - BTTS11 of 16 matches

56%

Preston North End - BTTS9 of 16 matches

57%

League average

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time19%

WatfordPreston North End

0%BTTS in both halves0%

WatfordPreston North End

13%Scored in both halves31%

WatfordPreston North End

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%

WatfordPreston North End

6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%

WatfordPreston North End

80%BTTS - last 580%

WatfordPreston North End

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

100%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)94%

WatfordPreston North End

75%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)69%

WatfordPreston North End

56%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)44%

WatfordPreston North End

25%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)19%

WatfordPreston North End

6%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)6%

WatfordPreston North End

Over / Under - Watford

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 100%Under 0%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 75%Under 25%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 56%Under 44%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 25%Under 75%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 6%Under 94%

Over / Under - Preston North End

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 94%Under 6%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 69%Under 31%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 44%Under 56%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 19%Under 81%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 6%Under 94%

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%

WatfordPreston North End

44%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%

WatfordPreston North End

19%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%

WatfordPreston North End

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%

WatfordPreston North End

25%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%

WatfordPreston North End

19%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%

WatfordPreston North End

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Preston North End is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.13 pts / match - Watford · 1.56 pts / match - Preston North End

Watford - half-time state

25% leading38% draw38% trailing

Preston North End - half-time state

44% leading25% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per match (1st half)1.56

WatfordPreston North End

0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.69

WatfordPreston North End

0.81Goals conceded (1st half)0.5

WatfordPreston North End

1.44Average goals (1st half)1.19

WatfordPreston North End

31%Clean sheet before half-time56%

WatfordPreston North End

56%No goal before half-time38%

WatfordPreston North End

After half-time (2nd half)

1.63Points per match (2nd half)1.31

WatfordPreston North End

0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.63

WatfordPreston North End

0.44Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5

WatfordPreston North End

1.19Average goals (2nd half)1.13

WatfordPreston North End

56%Clean sheet after half-time63%

WatfordPreston North End

56%No goal after half-time50%

WatfordPreston North End

Watford - second-half results

44% W31% D25% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

-3

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.13

PPG before half-time

Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Preston North End - second-half results

25% W56% D19% L

Half-time points

Half-time goals

Goal difference (1st half)

Second-half points

Goal difference (2nd half)

1.56

PPG before half-time

Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Watford - last 5 matches by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per match	1.00	2.20
Goals scored / match	0.8	1.0
Goals conceded / match	1.2	0.2
Average goals in match	2.0	1.2
1 goal	100%	60%
2 goals	80%	20%
3 goals	20%	20%
Clean sheet	20%	80%
No goal	40%	40%
Goal difference	-2	+4

Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing

2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

Preston North End - last 5 matches by half
	1st half	2nd half
Points per match	1.60	1.60
Goals scored / match	1.0	0.8
Goals conceded / match	0.8	0.4
Average goals in match	1.8	1.2
1 goal	100%	80%
2 goals	60%	40%
3 goals	20%	0%
Clean sheet	40%	60%
No goal	0%	40%
Goal difference	+1	+2

Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing

2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost

BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Watford

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Preston North End

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.47

Estimated goals

attack vs opponent defence

1.2 : 1.3

Estimated goal split

home : away

96%

Pace vs league

100% = league average

63%

Both teams scored (BTTS)

average from both teams' seasons

-100%

Derby effect

H2H goals vs typical matches

61%

BTTS estimate

from both teams' scoring frequency

0:0 risk

about 1 in 20 matches

0-1

Most common goal range

attack vs defence on both sides

Watford

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

+0.04

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

+0.09

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-3.3 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

-0.10

Defensive efficiency

Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.

+0.19

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

105%

Defence vs league

How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.

100%

Form trend

Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.

+0.16

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

+0.1

Late goals

18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.

18%

Preston North End

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

-0.09

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

+0.40

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-4.4 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

+0.02

Defensive efficiency

Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.

+0.38

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

105%

Defence vs league

How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.

76%

Form trend

Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.

+0.37

Stronger second half?

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

-0.1

Late goals

24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.

24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

	Watford	Liga	Preston North End
Average goals in match	• 2.63	2.57	▼ 2.31
Both teams scored	▲ 69%	57%	• 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)	▲ 56%	50%	▼ 44%
Clean sheets	▼ 6%	25%	▲ 31%
Goal before half-time	▲ 81%	73%	▲ 88%
Goal after half-time	▼ 69%	75%	▼ 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57

Average goals per match

57%

Both teams scored

50%

Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)

25%

Clean sheets

1.32

Home goals / match

1.25

Away goals / match

+6%

Home attack advantage

+5%

Home defence advantage

+8%

Total home advantage

Goals in 1st half (whole league)

73%

1 goal

30%

2 goals

12%

3 goals

4 goals

Goals in 2nd half (whole league)

75%

1 goal

41%

2 goals

17%

3 goals

4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Starting lineup

2Jeremy NgakiaA 1 4Kévin Keben 5Hector Kyprianou🟨 1 6Matthew Pollock 9Luca Kjerrumgaardoff 74'10Imran Louza 12Nathan Baxter 16Marc Bola 20Mamadou Doumbia⚽ 1 · off 86'39Edo Kayembeoff 85'42Othmane Maammaoff 74'

Substitutes

3Max Alleyneon 1'7Thomas Inceon 85'8Giorgi Chakvetadzeon 74'17Moussa Sissokoon 1'18Vivaldo Leandro Semedo Moura Sousaon 86'23Nampalys Mendyon 1'25James Bright Adusei Abankwahon 1'

41Alfie Marriotton 1'

66Nestory Irankunda🟨 1 · on 74'

Away team

Starting lineup

1Daniel Lønne Iversen 6Liam Lindsay🟨 1 9Daniel Jebbison⚽ 1 · off 81'14Jordan Storey 15Jordan Thompsonoff 62'16Andrew Hughes🟨 1 17Lewis Norman DobbinA 1 · off 72'18Jamal Piaras Lewis 21Alfie Devine🟨 1 22Stefán Teitur Þórðarson🟨 1 42Odeluga Offiahoff 81'

Substitutes

2Pol Valentín Sanchoon 81'7Will Keaneon 1'10Mads Frøkjær-Jensenon 72'12Jack Waltonon 1'13David Cornellon 1'24Michael John Smithon 81'26Thierr Smallon 62'35Noah Maweneon 1'

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

22'
Preston North EndGoalDaniel JebbisonAssist: Lewis Norman Dobbin
37'
Preston North EndYellow cardAlfie Devine
45+1'
WatfordGoalMamadou DoumbiaAssist: Jeremy Ngakia
62'
Preston North EndSubstitutionOn: Thierr SmallOff: Jordan Thompson
71'
WatfordYellow cardHector Kyprianou
72'
Preston North EndSubstitutionOn: Mads Frøkjær-JensenOff: Lewis Norman Dobbin
84'
Preston North EndYellow cardAndrew Hughes
85'
WatfordSubstitutionOn: Thomas InceOff: Edo Kayembe
86'
WatfordSubstitutionOn: Vivaldo Leandro Semedo Moura SousaOff: Mamadou Doumbia
87'
Preston North EndYellow cardStefán Teitur Þórðarson
90+1'
Preston North EndYellow cardLiam Lindsay
90+6'
WatfordYellow cardNestory Irankunda

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

RefereeJames Bell Home managerJavier Gracia Carlos Away managerPaul Heckingbottom

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

James BellMatches officiated: 11

3.45Cards per match

0Penalties per match

1 / X / 264%Home wins27%Draws9%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Watford vs Preston North End?

The Championship match finished Watford 1:1 Preston North End. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Watford vs Preston North End?

Watford score 1.38 goals per game on average and Preston North End 1.31. The Championship average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Watford's matches and 56% of Preston North End's.

What form are Watford and Preston North End in?

Over the last 5 games Watford have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Preston North End 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Watford vs Preston North End?

The statistical background for Watford vs Preston North End — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.