Watford vs Swansea City: match statistics
Watford displays significantly superior home form with a 53% win rate and a positive goal difference of +9 at their home ground. The hosts average 1.6 goals per match at home with only 13% of matches without a goal, indicating a solid offensive performance. Swansea City performs considerably worse on the road with a 64% loss rate and a negative goal difference of -7, scoring an average of only 0.86 goals per away match while failing to score in 36% of away games. Although both teams have averaged 1 point per game in their last five matches, Watford's advantage in home statistics (higher xG 1.72 vs 1.26, better conversion rate 10% vs 8%, more shots 15.87 vs 11.07) combined with Swansea's away weaknesses point towards a home victory. However, it must be considered that Watford has shown inconsistent form in their last five home matches, which could offer the visitors a chance to secure a point, hence a draw is also a plausible outcome.
Watford vs Swansea City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Watford played Swansea City in Championship (England). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Watford: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Swansea City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Watford scores 1.39 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Swansea City scores 1.10 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Watford 68%, Swansea City 59%. Over 2.5: Watford 50%, Swansea City 48%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Watford has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.34. Watford: 13.7 shots per match, Swansea City: 12.1.
Match halves
Watford: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.75. Swansea City: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Watford: 31-45+ (10 goals). Swansea City: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Watford displays significantly superior home form with a 53% win rate and a positive goal difference of +9 at their home ground. The hosts average 1.6 goals per match at home with only 13% of matches without a goal, indicating a solid offensive performance. Swansea City performs considerably worse on the road with a 64% loss rate and a negative goal difference of -7, scoring an average of only 0.86 goals per away match while failing to score in 36% of away games. Although both teams have averaged 1 point per game in their last five matches, Watford's advantage in home statistics (higher xG 1.72 vs 1.26, better conversion rate 10% vs 8%, more shots 15.87 vs 11.07) combined with Swansea's away weaknesses point towards a home victory. However, it must be considered that Watford has shown inconsistent form in their last five home matches, which could offer the visitors a chance to secure a point, hence a draw is also a plausible outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Watford | Swansea City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Watford is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Watford · 1.4 pts / match - Swansea City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Watford is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - Watford · 1.1 goals / match - Swansea City
Watford is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Watford · 1.28 goals / match - Swansea City
Watford scores in 82% of matches (23 of 28 matches), while Swansea City keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 matches).
Swansea City scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Watford
Over / Under - Swansea City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Watford is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Watford · 0.86 pts / match - Swansea City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Watford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Swansea City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Watford
Swansea City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Watford | Liga | Swansea City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.57 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 57% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 24% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 72% | • 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Watford 0 - 1 - 0 Swansea City. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Watford vs Swansea City?
The Championship match finished Watford 0:2 Swansea City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Watford vs Swansea City?
Watford score 1.39 goals per game on average and Swansea City 1.10. The Championship average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Watford's matches and 59% of Swansea City's.
What form are Watford and Swansea City in?
Over the last 5 games Watford have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Swansea City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Watford vs Swansea City?
The statistical background for Watford vs Swansea City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.