Wda Świecie vs Grom Nowy Staw: match statistics

Grom Nowy Staw are showing clearly better current form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored a total of 11 goals in that run, while Wda Świecie have managed just 1 victory and conceded as many as 20 goals. The hosts did win their only home match to date, averaging 2 goals scored, but their defence allowed opponents an average xG of 1.62, compared with their own xG of just 1.14. The visitors also won their only away match, keeping a clean sheet and recording a +2 goal difference. Wda average 57% possession and 4 shots on target per home match, but a poor run of three defeats in their last five appearances undermines their credibility. Grom’s advantage in current attacking efficiency and a significantly more stable defence points to a marginally higher probability of an away win.

The strongest argument for both teams to score comes from their current form: Wda recorded BTTS in 100% of their last 5 matches, while Grom did so in 80%. During this period, the hosts conceded as many as 4.0 goals per match, with an average xG against them of 1.89, so Grom’s attack, scoring an average of 2.2 goals, should create plenty of chances. Wda did score only 1.2 goals per match in their last five outings, but Grom allowed opponents 1.91 xG and conceded an average of 1.4 goals. In addition, the average xG created by both teams stands at 1.28 and 1.47, respectively, supporting a scenario with a goal on each side. Although Grom had a 100% clean-sheet rate in a very small seasonal sample, the much broader data from their last five matches points more clearly towards BTTS - Yes.

Data from the last five matches points to a very open game profile: Wda Świecie conceded an average of 4.0 goals, while Grom Nowy Staw scored 2.2 goals. Both teams recorded over 2.5 goals in 80% of their last five appearances, while Wda’s matches produced as many as 5.2 goals per game on average. The home side have failed to keep a clean sheet, while both teams scored in 100% of their last five matches; for the visitors, this figure stands at 80%. Grom’s high xG from recent matches, at 1.47, combined with an xG against Wda of 1.89, supports a total of at least two goals. The strongest signal remains Over 1.5, as both teams had at least two goals in 100% of their available league matches, alongside clear attacking indicators from their current form.

Grom Nowy Staw are in clearly better current form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with just 1 win for Wda Świecie, while their average points returns stand at 1.8 and 0.8 respectively. In this run, the hosts have conceded as many as 4.0 goals per match, including an average of 2.0 before half-time, whereas the visitors have allowed their opponents just 0.4 goals in the first halves. Wda were behind at the break in 40% of their last five matches, while Grom led after 45 minutes in 40%, strengthening the scenario of the visitors gaining the upper hand in the first half. After the break, the visitors score an average of 1.6 goals and win the second half in 60% of their matches, while Wda score just 0.4 goals during that period and concede 2.0. The most likely outcome is therefore Grom leading at half-time and maintaining their winning advantage through to the final whistle.