Wda Świecie vs Lipno Stęszew: match statistics

Lipno Stęszew are showing significantly stronger current form: they have collected 10 points from their last five matches, recording three wins, one draw and one defeat, while Wda Świecie have managed just 1 point. The visitors have scored 11 goals during this period, compared with only 4 for the hosts, highlighting a substantial difference in attacking efficiency. Wda have conceded as many as 20 goals in their last five matches—an average of 4 per game—so even Lipno’s defence, which has allowed 10 goals, looks considerably more reliable by comparison. Away from home, Lipno create chances worth an average of 2.09 xG, attempt 20 shots and register 6 shots on target per match, which should seriously test the hosts’ fragile defence. The risk of a draw remains notable, as Lipno’s only away match so far ended level, but the current trends clearly favour the visitors.

The case for both teams to score is strengthened by the very high league BTTS rate of 78%, with an average of 4.67 goals per match. Wda conceded as many as 4.0 goals per game in their last five matches, while Lipno scored 2.2 goals per game during that period, making an away goal highly likely. Although the hosts scored only 0.8 goals per game across their last five appearances, their xG of 1.30 and an 80% BTTS rate indicate that they have a realistic chance of responding. Lipno are also far from watertight defensively, conceding an average of 2.0 goals in their last five matches and recording an xG against of 1.88. BTTS - Yes has the edge, although Wda’s weaker finishing lowers confidence in the prediction.

The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as Wda’s last five matches produced an average of 4.8 goals, while Lipno’s averaged 4.2 goals. Wda conceded as many as 20 goals during this period, or 4.0 per game, whereas Lipno scored 11 goals, averaging 2.2 per match. The chance-quality metrics also support an open game: Lipno created an average of 1.65 xG, while Wda allowed opponents 1.83 xG. The Over 2.5 line also has a solid basis, having landed in 60% of the hosts’ last five matches and 80% of the visitors’ appearances, but Over 1.5 offers a clearer safety margin. Additionally, the league-wide average is a very high 4.67 goals per match, further strengthening the prediction of at least two goals.

Lipno Stęszew are showing clearly better form: over their last five matches, they have averaged 2.2 goals and 2.0 points, compared with just 0.8 goals and 0.2 points for Wda Świecie. The hosts have lost four of their last five fixtures and were trailing at the break in 60% of them, conceding an average of as many as 2.2 goals before half-time. The visitors were level at half-time in 60% of their recent matches, supporting a cautious HT/FT scenario with no winner at the break; however, after the interval they averaged 1.6 goals, compared with just 0.2 for Wda. In addition, Lipno won the second half in 60% of this sample, while the hosts failed to win any second half, making a draw at half-time followed by an away victory at full-time the most likely outcome (X/2).