Wda Świecie vs Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce: match statistics
Wda Świecie displays significantly better home form with 55% of matches won at home and a goal difference of -1, while Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce has only 36% of away wins with a goal difference of -3. The hosts have averaged 1.2 points per match in their last 5 games, surpassing the visitors' 0.8 points. A key factor is also the advantage in ball possession (49% vs 38%) and a higher xG coefficient (1.48 vs 1.18), which indicates Wda's greater offensive efficiency. Pogoń struggles defensively on the road, conceding an average of 1.55 goals per match, which, given the hosts' solid play, could be decisive for the outcome. Taking all statistics into account, Wda Świecie holds the advantage, although the balanced level of both teams suggests the possibility of a draw or an upset.
Wda Świecie vs Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wda Świecie played Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Wda Świecie: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wda Świecie scores 1.09 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce scores 0.86 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wda Świecie 39%, Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 50%. Over 2.5: Wda Świecie 52%, Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Wda Świecie has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.18. Wda Świecie: 9.6 shots per match, Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce: 5.8.
Match halves
Wda Świecie: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.61. Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Wda Świecie: 76-90+ (8 goals). Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 2: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wda Świecie displays significantly better home form with 55% of matches won at home and a goal difference of -1, while Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce has only 36% of away wins with a goal difference of -3. The hosts have averaged 1.2 points per match in their last 5 games, surpassing the visitors' 0.8 points. A key factor is also the advantage in ball possession (49% vs 38%) and a higher xG coefficient (1.48 vs 1.18), which indicates Wda's greater offensive efficiency. Pogoń struggles defensively on the road, conceding an average of 1.55 goals per match, which, given the hosts' solid play, could be decisive for the outcome. Taking all statistics into account, Wda Świecie holds the advantage, although the balanced level of both teams suggests the possibility of a draw or an upset.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Wda Świecie maintains a very low seasonal goal average (0.45) and a high percentage of matches without a scored goal (FTS 64%), which strongly reduces the chances for BTTS. Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce usually scores (FTS only 9%, averaging 1.27 goals), so the key condition for BTTS is a goal from the hosts. Although Pogoń's defense looks weak (1.55 goals conceded per match, xGA 1.81, and as many as 2.4 goals conceded in the last 5 matches), Wda's seasonal profile (BTTS 27%) still points to a more frequent scenario with at least one team keeping a clean sheet. Additionally, Wda has a relatively decent clean sheet percentage (36%) and has conceded an average of only 1.0 goals in their last 5 matches, which may limit the visitors' tally. Overall, the data gives a slight edge to the BTTS: NO option, despite the increasing BTTS rate in recent matchdays (Wda 60%, Pogoń 80%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goal-scoring model indicates approximately 2.70 goals in the match (1.25 home, 1.45 away), which, given the league average of 2.93, favors a scenario with at least 2 goals. Pogoń has a high frequency of matches with Over 1.5 (82%) and Over 0.5 (100%), while simultaneously showing low CS (18%) and high BTTS (73%), elevating the base goal-scoring tempo. Widzew has a low average of goals scored (0.45), but its xG for (1.2) suggests potential for improved efficiency, especially against Pogoń's defense with an xG against of 1.81 and 1.55 goals conceded per match. Data from the last 5 matches reinforces this impression: Pogoń conceded an average of 2.4 goals and had a 100% Over 2.5 record, while Widzew generated 1.32 xG. The 1.5 line provides the strongest signal, as it combines high probability with broad support in both teams' trends and the visitors' defensive profile.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Wda has a very poor goal production in the first half (scoredAVGHT 0.18) and as many as 82% of their matches are goalless at the break, which boosts the scenario of a HT draw (drawingAtHT 45%). Pogoń is generally more effective this season (1.27 goals/match vs 0.45) and earns more points (PPG 1.36 vs 0.64), thus increasing the probability of their win by the end. At the same time, Pogoń's first-half defense is not tight (concededAVGHT 0.82), which favors a close scoreline at the interval. After the break, Pogoń's advantage is more pronounced: better second-half points (15 vs 8) and a higher average of goals scored (0.64 vs 0.27). Wda loses 55% of matches, therefore the most data-consistent variant is X/2: a draw at half-time and an away win in the end.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wda Świecie | Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wda Świecie is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Wda Świecie · 0.8 pts / match - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wda Świecie is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Wda Świecie · 0.86 goals / match - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - Wda Świecie · 1.5 goals / match - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Wda Świecie scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Wda Świecie keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wda Świecie
Over / Under - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Wda Świecie · 1.18 pts / match - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wda Świecie - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 23%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wda Świecie
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Wda Świecie | Liga | Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.74 | 2.94 | ▼ 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 28% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Wda Świecie 1 - 0 - 0 Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wda Świecie vs Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Wda Świecie 3:1 Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wda Świecie vs Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce?
Wda Świecie score 1.09 goals per game on average and Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 0.86. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Wda Świecie's matches and 50% of Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce's.
What form are Wda Świecie and Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce in?
Over the last 5 games Wda Świecie have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wda Świecie vs Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.