Wealdstone vs Morecambe: match statistics
Wealdstone holds a clear advantage as the host with a 47% home win rate and a solid goal difference of -1 at their own stadium. Morecambe presents very poor away form with only 12% wins on the road and a disastrous goal difference of -18, conceding an average of 2.35 goals per match. The hosts possess better offensive stats in home games (1.33 goals average) and significantly higher xG efficiency (1.56 vs 1.35 for the guests). Morecambe occupies the penultimate 22nd place in the table and loses as many as 59% of their away matches, which further weakens their chances. Although the recent form of both teams is not impressive, the home advantage and Wealdstone's defensive statistics (1.4 goals conceded average at home vs 2.35 conceded by Morecambe away) argue for a home victory.
Wealdstone vs Morecambe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wealdstone played Morecambe in National League (England). The match was played on 3 March 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Wealdstone: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Morecambe: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wealdstone scores 1.22 and concedes 1.66 goals per match. Morecambe scores 1.31 and concedes 2.14. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wealdstone 56%, Morecambe 54%. Over 2.5: Wealdstone 53%, Morecambe 66%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Wealdstone has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.36. Wealdstone: 12.1 shots per match, Morecambe: 11.2.
Match halves
Wealdstone: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.78. Morecambe: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Wealdstone: 61-75 (10 goals). Morecambe: 46-60 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wealdstone holds a clear advantage as the host with a 47% home win rate and a solid goal difference of -1 at their own stadium. Morecambe presents very poor away form with only 12% wins on the road and a disastrous goal difference of -18, conceding an average of 2.35 goals per match. The hosts possess better offensive stats in home games (1.33 goals average) and significantly higher xG efficiency (1.56 vs 1.35 for the guests). Morecambe occupies the penultimate 22nd place in the table and loses as many as 59% of their away matches, which further weakens their chances. Although the recent form of both teams is not impressive, the home advantage and Wealdstone's defensive statistics (1.4 goals conceded average at home vs 2.35 conceded by Morecambe away) argue for a home victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wealdstone | Morecambe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Morecambe is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Wealdstone · 1 pts / match - Morecambe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Morecambe is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Wealdstone · 1.31 goals / match - Morecambe
Wealdstone is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.66 goals / match - Wealdstone · 2.14 goals / match - Morecambe
Wealdstone scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Morecambe keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 35 matches).
Morecambe scores in 66% of matches (23 of 35 matches), while Wealdstone keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wealdstone
Over / Under - Morecambe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Morecambe is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / match - Wealdstone · 1.06 pts / match - Morecambe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wealdstone - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Morecambe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wealdstone
Morecambe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Wealdstone | Liga | Morecambe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.88 | 2.91 | ▲ 3.46 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 57% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▲ 66% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 24% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 72% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 81% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Wealdstone 0 - 0 - 1 Morecambe. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wealdstone vs Morecambe?
The National League match finished Wealdstone 2:3 Morecambe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wealdstone vs Morecambe?
Wealdstone score 1.22 goals per game on average and Morecambe 1.31. The National League average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Wealdstone's matches and 54% of Morecambe's.
What form are Wealdstone and Morecambe in?
Over the last 5 games Wealdstone have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Morecambe 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wealdstone vs Morecambe?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.