Wealdstone vs Tamworth: match statistics
Wealdstone is showing much better home form with a 44% win rate at home and a goal difference of -2, whereas Tamworth loses as many as 50% of their away fixtures with a -17 goal difference. The hosts score an average of 1.38 goals per home game against an xG of 1.61, indicating underrated attacking potential, while the visitors leak an average of 2.11 goals away with an xG Against of 1.95. Wealdstone dominates ball possession (59% vs 37%) and registers more shots (13.38 vs 10.39), evidencing their control over the game on home turf. Tamworth has shown poor form in their last five away matches, suffering a losing streak and keeping only 28% clean sheets, making them highly vulnerable to conceding goals. Given the hosts' edge in key metrics and Tamworth's away struggles, a Wealdstone victory is the most likely outcome, though a draw remains a viable option.
Wealdstone vs Tamworth: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wealdstone played Tamworth in National League (England). The match was played on 10 March 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Wealdstone: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Tamworth: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wealdstone scores 1.32 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Tamworth scores 1.28 and concedes 1.64. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wealdstone 59%, Tamworth 69%. Over 2.5: Wealdstone 56%, Tamworth 56%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Wealdstone has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.48. Wealdstone: 12.7 shots per match, Tamworth: 11.1.
Match halves
Wealdstone: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.82. Tamworth: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Wealdstone: 61-75 (11 goals). Tamworth: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wealdstone is showing much better home form with a 44% win rate at home and a goal difference of -2, whereas Tamworth loses as many as 50% of their away fixtures with a -17 goal difference. The hosts score an average of 1.38 goals per home game against an xG of 1.61, indicating underrated attacking potential, while the visitors leak an average of 2.11 goals away with an xG Against of 1.95. Wealdstone dominates ball possession (59% vs 37%) and registers more shots (13.38 vs 10.39), evidencing their control over the game on home turf. Tamworth has shown poor form in their last five away matches, suffering a losing streak and keeping only 28% clean sheets, making them highly vulnerable to conceding goals. Given the hosts' edge in key metrics and Tamworth's away struggles, a Wealdstone victory is the most likely outcome, though a draw remains a viable option.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wealdstone | Tamworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tamworth is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Wealdstone · 1.4 pts / match - Tamworth
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wealdstone scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Tamworth keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 36 matches).
Tamworth scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Wealdstone keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wealdstone
Over / Under - Tamworth
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tamworth is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / match - Wealdstone · 1.14 pts / match - Tamworth
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wealdstone - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tamworth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wealdstone
Tamworth
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Wealdstone | Liga | Tamworth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.00 | 2.93 | • 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 57% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 57% | • 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 24% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 81% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Wealdstone 0 - 1 - 0 Tamworth. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wealdstone vs Tamworth?
The National League match finished Wealdstone 3:2 Tamworth. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wealdstone vs Tamworth?
Wealdstone score 1.32 goals per game on average and Tamworth 1.28. The National League average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Wealdstone's matches and 69% of Tamworth's.
What form are Wealdstone and Tamworth in?
Over the last 5 games Wealdstone have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Tamworth 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wealdstone vs Tamworth?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Wealdstone vs Tamworth: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.