Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar: match statistics
Welayta Dicha sits at the bottom of the table, but they perform significantly better at home than their league position suggests. The hosts score an average of 1.29 goals per home match with an xG of 1.48, indicating offensive potential. Bahardar has shown solid defensive form in the last five matches (only 1 goal conceded) and holds a high 43% clean sheet rate away from home. However, the visitors struggle heavily to score on the road (57% of matches without a goal, averaging 0.57 goals), making them little threat in attack. Given Bahardar's weak away offense and the hosts' moderate form, I expect a low-scoring affair with a slight lean towards a draw, which is the most common result for both teams in recent fixtures.
Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Welayta Dicha played Bahardar in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 20 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Welayta Dicha: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Bahardar: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Welayta Dicha scores 1.00 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Bahardar scores 0.73 and concedes 0.67. League average: 1.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Welayta Dicha 73%, Bahardar 33%. Over 2.5: Welayta Dicha 40%, Bahardar 27%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Welayta Dicha has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.21. Welayta Dicha: 8.8 shots per match, Bahardar: 8.5.
Match halves
Welayta Dicha: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.67. Bahardar: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Welayta Dicha: 61-75 (4 goals). Bahardar: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.75 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Welayta Dicha sits at the bottom of the table, but they perform significantly better at home than their league position suggests. The hosts score an average of 1.29 goals per home match with an xG of 1.48, indicating offensive potential. Bahardar has shown solid defensive form in the last five matches (only 1 goal conceded) and holds a high 43% clean sheet rate away from home. However, the visitors struggle heavily to score on the road (57% of matches without a goal, averaging 0.57 goals), making them little threat in attack. Given Bahardar's weak away offense and the hosts' moderate form, I expect a low-scoring affair with a slight lean towards a draw, which is the most common result for both teams in recent fixtures.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Welayta Dicha | Bahardar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bahardar is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Welayta Dicha · 1.4 pts / match - Bahardar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Welayta Dicha is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Welayta Dicha · 0.73 goals / match - Bahardar
Bahardar is 90% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Welayta Dicha · 0.67 goals / match - Bahardar
Welayta Dicha scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 60% (9 of 15 matches).
Bahardar scores in 47% of matches (7 of 15 matches), while Welayta Dicha keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Welayta Dicha
Over / Under - Bahardar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bahardar is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.87 pts / match - Welayta Dicha · 1.07 pts / match - Bahardar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Welayta Dicha - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bahardar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Welayta Dicha
Bahardar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Welayta Dicha | Liga | Bahardar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.27 | 1.75 | ▼ 1.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 43% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 28% | • 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 39% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 58% | ▼ 47% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Welayta Dicha 0:0 Bahardar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar?
Welayta Dicha score 1.00 goals per game on average and Bahardar 0.73. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Welayta Dicha's matches and 33% of Bahardar's.
What form are Welayta Dicha and Bahardar in?
Over the last 5 games Welayta Dicha have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Bahardar 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.