Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Medhin: match statistics
Welayta Dicha presents a clear advantage as the host in this clash. The team maintains a positive goal difference at their home ground (+2) and achieves a 33% win rate in home matches, whereas Ethiopian Medhin wins only 29% of away games with very poor form (0.4 PPG in the last 5 matches). The hosts possess superior xG metrics (1.54 vs 1.22 for the guests) and higher scoring efficiency in home fixtures. Ethiopian Medhin loses as many as 57% of away matches and holds a negative goal difference (-2), further diminishing their chances. Given the hosts' advantage in key statistics and the visitors' poor disposition, I expect a victory for Welayta Dicha, although a draw remains a realistic scenario due to the hosts' high rate of draws (50%) in home matches.
Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Medhin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Welayta Dicha played Ethiopian Medhin in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 10 January 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Welayta Dicha: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Ethiopian Medhin: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Welayta Dicha scores 1.00 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.75 and concedes 1.08. League average: 1.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Welayta Dicha 69%, Ethiopian Medhin 50%. Over 2.5: Welayta Dicha 38%, Ethiopian Medhin 33%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Welayta Dicha has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.24. Welayta Dicha: 8.9 shots per match, Ethiopian Medhin: 7.1.
Match halves
Welayta Dicha: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.69. Ethiopian Medhin: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.08.
Goals by minute
Welayta Dicha: 61-75 (4 goals). Ethiopian Medhin: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.71 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Welayta Dicha presents a clear advantage as the host in this clash. The team maintains a positive goal difference at their home ground (+2) and achieves a 33% win rate in home matches, whereas Ethiopian Medhin wins only 29% of away games with very poor form (0.4 PPG in the last 5 matches). The hosts possess superior xG metrics (1.54 vs 1.22 for the guests) and higher scoring efficiency in home fixtures. Ethiopian Medhin loses as many as 57% of away matches and holds a negative goal difference (-2), further diminishing their chances. Given the hosts' advantage in key statistics and the visitors' poor disposition, I expect a victory for Welayta Dicha, although a draw remains a realistic scenario due to the hosts' high rate of draws (50%) in home matches.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Welayta Dicha | Ethiopian Medhin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Welayta Dicha is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Welayta Dicha · 0.4 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Welayta Dicha is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Welayta Dicha · 0.75 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Medhin is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.23 goals / match - Welayta Dicha · 1.08 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Welayta Dicha scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
Ethiopian Medhin scores in 50% of matches (6 of 12 matches), while Welayta Dicha keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Welayta Dicha
Over / Under - Ethiopian Medhin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopian Medhin is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / match - Welayta Dicha · 1.33 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Welayta Dicha - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Welayta Dicha
Ethiopian Medhin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Welayta Dicha | Liga | Ethiopian Medhin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.23 | 1.71 | ▲ 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 42% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 40% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 57% | • 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Ethiopian MedhinGoalBiruk Mulugeta Sheferaw
FAQ
What was the result of Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Medhin?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Welayta Dicha 1:2 Ethiopian Medhin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Welayta Dicha score 1.00 goals per game on average and Ethiopian Medhin 0.75. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Welayta Dicha's matches and 50% of Ethiopian Medhin's.
What form are Welayta Dicha and Ethiopian Medhin in?
Over the last 5 games Welayta Dicha have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ethiopian Medhin 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Medhin?
The statistical background for Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Medhin — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.