Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Medhin: match statistics
Welayta Dicha presents a clear advantage as the host in this clash. The team maintains a positive goal difference at their home ground (+2) and achieves a 33% win rate in home matches, whereas Ethiopian Medhin wins only 29% of away games with very poor form (0.4 PPG in the last 5 matches). The hosts possess superior xG metrics (1.54 vs 1.22 for the guests) and higher scoring efficiency in home fixtures. Ethiopian Medhin loses as many as 57% of away matches and holds a negative goal difference (-2), further diminishing their chances. Given the hosts' advantage in key statistics and the visitors' poor disposition, I expect a victory for Welayta Dicha, although a draw remains a realistic scenario due to the hosts' high rate of draws (50%) in home matches.
Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Medhin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Welayta Dicha play Ethiopian Medhin in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 10 January 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Welayta Dicha: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Ethiopian Medhin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Welayta Dicha scores 0.97 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.78 and concedes 0.84. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Welayta Dicha 45%, Ethiopian Medhin 43%. Over 2.5: Welayta Dicha 26%, Ethiopian Medhin 24%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Welayta Dicha has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.23. Welayta Dicha: 8.6 shots per match, Ethiopian Medhin: 7.3.
Match halves
Welayta Dicha: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.63. Ethiopian Medhin: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.32.
Goals by minute
Welayta Dicha: 61-75 (10 goals). Ethiopian Medhin: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Welayta Dicha presents a clear advantage as the host in this clash. The team maintains a positive goal difference at their home ground (+2) and achieves a 33% win rate in home matches, whereas Ethiopian Medhin wins only 29% of away games with very poor form (0.4 PPG in the last 5 matches). The hosts possess superior xG metrics (1.54 vs 1.22 for the guests) and higher scoring efficiency in home fixtures. Ethiopian Medhin loses as many as 57% of away matches and holds a negative goal difference (-2), further diminishing their chances. Given the hosts' advantage in key statistics and the visitors' poor disposition, I expect a victory for Welayta Dicha, although a draw remains a realistic scenario due to the hosts' high rate of draws (50%) in home matches.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Welayta Dicha | Ethiopian Medhin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Welayta Dicha is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Welayta Dicha · 0.8 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Welayta Dicha is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Welayta Dicha · 0.78 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Welayta Dicha scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 30% (11 of 37 matches).
Ethiopian Medhin scores in 54% of matches (20 of 37 matches), while Welayta Dicha keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Welayta Dicha
Over / Under — Ethiopian Medhin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopian Medhin is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Welayta Dicha · 1.24 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Welayta Dicha - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Welayta Dicha
Ethiopian Medhin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Welayta Dicha | Liga | Ethiopian Medhin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.79 | 1.78 | ▼ 1.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 45% | 40% | ▲ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 40% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▼ 51% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 61% | 59% | • 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Welayta Dicha 0 - 1 - 0 Ethiopian Medhin. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Medhin?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Welayta Dicha 1:2 Ethiopian Medhin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Welayta Dicha score 0.97 goals per game on average and Ethiopian Medhin 0.78. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Welayta Dicha's matches and 43% of Ethiopian Medhin's.
What form are Welayta Dicha and Ethiopian Medhin in?
Over the last 5 games Welayta Dicha have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ethiopian Medhin 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Medhin?
The statistical background for Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopian Medhin — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.