Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City FC: match statistics
Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne City FC present a very even level, suggesting a draw result. Both teams occupy neighboring positions in the table (9th and 8th place) and have an identical points-per-game record in the last five matches (1.4 PPG). Wellington holds the home advantage with a goal difference of 0 in home matches and a higher xG (1.71 vs 1.24), giving them a chance for victory. Melbourne City, however, stands out with solid defense on the road (57% clean sheets) and a high percentage of draws in away matches (43%). The form of both teams is unstable, with two victories in the last five games. Considering the balanced offensive and defensive statistics and the visitors' tendency to draw, the most probable scenario is a sharing of points.
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wellington Phoenix played Melbourne City FC in A-League (Australia). The match was played on 30 January 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Wellington Phoenix: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Melbourne City FC: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wellington Phoenix scores 1.57 and concedes 1.86 goals per match. Melbourne City FC scores 1.07 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wellington Phoenix 79%, Melbourne City FC 40%. Over 2.5: Wellington Phoenix 79%, Melbourne City FC 33%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Wellington Phoenix has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.50. Wellington Phoenix: 13.6 shots per match, Melbourne City FC: 12.7.
Match halves
Wellington Phoenix: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00. Melbourne City FC: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Wellington Phoenix: 46-60 (6 goals). Melbourne City FC: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A-League: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne City FC present a very even level, suggesting a draw result. Both teams occupy neighboring positions in the table (9th and 8th place) and have an identical points-per-game record in the last five matches (1.4 PPG). Wellington holds the home advantage with a goal difference of 0 in home matches and a higher xG (1.71 vs 1.24), giving them a chance for victory. Melbourne City, however, stands out with solid defense on the road (57% clean sheets) and a high percentage of draws in away matches (43%). The form of both teams is unstable, with two victories in the last five games. Considering the balanced offensive and defensive statistics and the visitors' tendency to draw, the most probable scenario is a sharing of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wellington Phoenix | Melbourne City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wellington Phoenix is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
1.57 goals / match - Wellington Phoenix · 1.07 goals / match - Melbourne City FC
Melbourne City FC is 55% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.86 goals / match - Wellington Phoenix · 1.2 goals / match - Melbourne City FC
Wellington Phoenix scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while Melbourne City FC keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).
Melbourne City FC scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Wellington Phoenix keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wellington Phoenix
Over / Under - Melbourne City FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Melbourne City FC is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Wellington Phoenix · 1.27 pts / match - Melbourne City FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wellington Phoenix - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Melbourne City FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Wellington Phoenix | Liga | Melbourne City FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.43 | 2.72 | ▼ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 79% | 52% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 79% | 53% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 28% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 71% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 74% | ▼ 53% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City FC?
The A-League match finished Wellington Phoenix 2:2 Melbourne City FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City FC?
Wellington Phoenix score 1.57 goals per game on average and Melbourne City FC 1.07. The A-League average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 79% of Wellington Phoenix's matches and 40% of Melbourne City FC's.
What form are Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne City FC in?
Over the last 5 games Wellington Phoenix have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Melbourne City FC 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City FC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.