Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueData current as of 08 September 2026

Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Adama Kenema: match statistics

120%(0.00)
X35%(0.00)
245%(0.00)

Adama Kenema significantly outperforms the hosts in terms of form and statistics. Welwalo Adigrat Uni sits in last place (19th) in the table with a mere 13% home win rate and a disastrous -9 goal difference in home matches. The hosts failed to score in 63% of their home fixtures, confirming massive offensive struggles. Sitting in 7th place, Adama Kenema displays a solid away defense (67% clean sheets, averaging 0.5 goals conceded) along with better scoring efficiency. The visitors also hold the advantage in ball possession (65% vs 46%) and higher shot conversion. Recent form for both teams (1.6 PPG vs 1.2 PPG) further favors the visitors, who should win or at least draw this encounter.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Adama Kenema: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Welwalo Adigrat Uni played Adama Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 8 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Adama Kenema: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.50 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Adama Kenema scores 0.62 and concedes 0.46. League average: 1.76 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 36%, Adama Kenema 23%. Over 2.5: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 29%, Adama Kenema 15%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 27%.

xG, shots and style

Adama Kenema has higher xG: 1.05 vs 1.01. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 5.3 shots per match, Adama Kenema: 6.5.

Match halves

Welwalo Adigrat Uni: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.21. Adama Kenema: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.38.

Goals by minute

Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 16-30 (2 goals). Adama Kenema: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.76 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 27%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Adama Kenema significantly outperforms the hosts in terms of form and statistics. Welwalo Adigrat Uni sits in last place (19th) in the table with a mere 13% home win rate and a disastrous -9 goal difference in home matches. The hosts failed to score in 63% of their home fixtures, confirming massive offensive struggles. Sitting in 7th place, Adama Kenema displays a solid away defense (67% clean sheets, averaging 0.5 goals conceded) along with better scoring efficiency. The visitors also hold the advantage in ball possession (65% vs 46%) and higher shot conversion. Recent form for both teams (1.6 PPG vs 1.2 PPG) further favors the visitors, who should win or at least draw this encounter.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

40Possession (%)60
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
5Shots6
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
3Shots on target2
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
1.14xG1.13
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
6Corners3
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
84Dangerous attacks83
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
22Fouls19
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0Cards0
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0.5Goals scored / match0.62
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
1.29Goals conceded / match0.46
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
45%Average possession53%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
2Shots on target / match2.23
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

5.29Shots per match6.46
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
2Shots on target2.23
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
9.5%Shot conversion9.5%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
45%Possession53%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
1.01xG for1.05
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
1.07xG against0.95
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

Shooting quality

Welwalo Adigrat Uni: BalancedAdama Kenema: Balanced
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
Accuracy (shots on target)38%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.190.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Adama Kenema is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 1.6 pts / match - Adama Kenema

Welwalo Adigrat Uni
WDLDD
Season result split
14% W29% R57% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-8
0.71 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-5
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LLWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 0.79Opponent xG: 1.00BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Adama Kenema
WDLWD
Season result split
38% W46% R15% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-6-2
1.62 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WLDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.02Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Adama Kenema is 24% better for: goals scored per match.

0.5 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 0.62 goals / match - Adama Kenema

Adama Kenema is 180% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.29 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 0.46 goals / match - Adama Kenema

Welwalo Adigrat Uni scoring profile: more difficult

Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 43% of matches (6 of 14 matches), while Adama Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 77% (10 of 13 matches).

Adama Kenema scoring profile: strong

Adama Kenema scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).

7Goals scored (season)8
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
18Goals conceded (season)6
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
1.79Average goals in match1.08
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
3Goals scored (last 5)4
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
3Goals conceded (last 5)4
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

How often they score at least...

43%1 goal62%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
7%2 goals0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0%3 goals0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0%4 goals0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal23%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
43%2 goals15%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
7%3 goals8%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
7%4 goals0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

36%
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.5 of 14 matches
43%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time8%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0%Scored in both halves0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS15%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
40%BTTS - last 540%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time31%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time15%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

2nd half

43%Min. 1 goal after half-time38%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time15%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Adama Kenema is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 1.23 pts / match - Adama Kenema

Welwalo Adigrat Uni - half-time state
14% leading57% draw29% trailing
Adama Kenema - half-time state
15% leading77% draw8% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.23
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.23
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.23
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0.79Average goals (1st half)0.46
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
57%Clean sheet before half-time85%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
71%No goal before half-time77%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

After half-time (2nd half)

0.86Points per match (2nd half)1.38
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0.21Goals scored (2nd half)0.38
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0.64Goals conceded (2nd half)0.23
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0.86Average goals (2nd half)0.62
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
64%Clean sheet after half-time85%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
86%No goal after half-time62%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results

7% W64% R29% P
14
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Adama Kenema - second-half results

23% W69% R8% P
16
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.23
PPG before half-time
Lead holding253%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.0
Average goals in match0.80.4
1 goal60%20%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Adama Kenema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.00.6
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni
ScoredConceded
0
6
0-15
2
0
16-30
2
3
31-45
0
2
46-60
1
6
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Adama Kenema
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
2
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.44
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.5 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
82%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
30%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
27%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
22%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.73
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
57%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
145%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Adama Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
53%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Welwalo Adigrat UniLigaAdama Kenema
Average goals in match 1.791.76 1.08
Both teams scored 36%43% 23%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%27% 15%
Clean sheets 29%38% 77%
Goal before half-time 57%59% 31%
Goal after half-time 43%57% 38%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.76
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
27%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
0.87
Home goals / match
0.89
Away goals / match
+-2%
Home attack advantage
+-2%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Other recorded players

Biniam Ayten⚽ 1

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Adama KenemaGoalBiniam Ayten

FAQ

What was the result of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Adama Kenema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1:1 Adama Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Adama Kenema?

Welwalo Adigrat Uni score 0.50 goals per game on average and Adama Kenema 0.62. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's matches and 23% of Adama Kenema's.

What form are Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Adama Kenema in?

Over the last 5 games Welwalo Adigrat Uni have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Adama Kenema 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Adama Kenema?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Adama Kenema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.