Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Arba Minch Kenema: match statistics
This match promises to be a closely-fought encounter between the two weakest teams in the league, occupying the bottom spots in the table. Welwalo Adigrat Uni holds a marginal advantage as the home side with a 10% home win rate, but their home form is dismal, having suffered five consecutive defeats at the start of the season. Arba Minch Kenema have not won any away match this season (0% Win%), yet a significant 56% of their away games end in a draw, which points to a defensive mindset. The recent form of both sides is dismal – the hosts have drawn four of their last five matches, while the visitors have lost three of their last five outings. Given both teams' low scoring efficiency (0.5 vs 0.44 goals per game) and the visitors' high draw percentage, the most probable outcome is a share of the points.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Arba Minch Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Welwalo Adigrat Uni played Arba Minch Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Arba Minch Kenema: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.61 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.41 and concedes 1.18. League average: 1.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 44%, Arba Minch Kenema 35%. Over 2.5: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 28%, Arba Minch Kenema 18%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Arba Minch Kenema has higher xG: 1.06 vs 1.01. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 5.6 shots per match, Arba Minch Kenema: 5.9.
Match halves
Welwalo Adigrat Uni: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.22. Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.18.
Goals by minute
Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 16-30 (4 goals). Arba Minch Kenema: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.71 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
This match promises to be a closely-fought encounter between the two weakest teams in the league, occupying the bottom spots in the table. Welwalo Adigrat Uni holds a marginal advantage as the home side with a 10% home win rate, but their home form is dismal, having suffered five consecutive defeats at the start of the season. Arba Minch Kenema have not won any away match this season (0% Win%), yet a significant 56% of their away games end in a draw, which points to a defensive mindset. The recent form of both sides is dismal – the hosts have drawn four of their last five matches, while the visitors have lost three of their last five outings. Given both teams' low scoring efficiency (0.5 vs 0.44 goals per game) and the visitors' high draw percentage, the most probable outcome is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Arba Minch Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 0.4 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
0.61 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 0.41 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 50% of matches (9 of 18 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 35% of matches (6 of 17 matches), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Over / Under - Arba Minch Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 0.88 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Arba Minch Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Liga | Arba Minch Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.78 | 1.71 | ▼ 1.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 44% | 41% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 28% | 27% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 41% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 61% | 54% | • 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 44% | 57% | ▼ 47% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Welwalo Adigrat UniGoalFirew Solomon Ayele
FAQ
What was the result of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Arba Minch Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1:2 Arba Minch Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Arba Minch Kenema?
Welwalo Adigrat Uni score 0.61 goals per game on average and Arba Minch Kenema 0.41. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's matches and 35% of Arba Minch Kenema's.
What form are Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Arba Minch Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Welwalo Adigrat Uni have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Arba Minch Kenema 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Arba Minch Kenema?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Arba Minch Kenema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.