Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Dire Dawa Kenema: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates evenly matched chances for both teams, with a slight edge towards a draw. Welwalo Adigrat Uni has shown solid form in their last five matches (1.8 PPG, unbeaten), but their poor home record (only an 18% home win rate) is a significant liability. Dire Dawa Kenema features a high away draw percentage (55%), confirming their defensive efficiency (36% clean sheets). Both teams share identical shot conversion rates (12%) and similar xG values, suggesting evenly matched offensive potential. Considering the hosts' weak scoring form at home (0.64 goals/match) and the visitors' tendency to draw, a share of the points is the most likely outcome.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Dire Dawa Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Welwalo Adigrat Uni played Dire Dawa Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Dire Dawa Kenema: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.67 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. Dire Dawa Kenema scores 0.70 and concedes 1.09. League average: 1.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 46%, Dire Dawa Kenema 39%. Over 2.5: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 29%, Dire Dawa Kenema 30%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Dire Dawa Kenema has higher xG: 1.03 vs 0.98. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 5.3 shots per match, Dire Dawa Kenema: 6.8.
Match halves
Welwalo Adigrat Uni: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.29. Dire Dawa Kenema: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 16-30 (6 goals). Dire Dawa Kenema: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.75 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates evenly matched chances for both teams, with a slight edge towards a draw. Welwalo Adigrat Uni has shown solid form in their last five matches (1.8 PPG, unbeaten), but their poor home record (only an 18% home win rate) is a significant liability. Dire Dawa Kenema features a high away draw percentage (55%), confirming their defensive efficiency (36% clean sheets). Both teams share identical shot conversion rates (12%) and similar xG values, suggesting evenly matched offensive potential. Considering the hosts' weak scoring form at home (0.64 goals/match) and the visitors' tendency to draw, a share of the points is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Dire Dawa Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 1 pts / match - Dire Dawa Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.04 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 1.09 goals / match - Dire Dawa Kenema
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 54% of matches (13 of 24 matches), while Dire Dawa Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
Dire Dawa Kenema scores in 48% of matches (11 of 23 matches), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Over / Under - Dire Dawa Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 1 pts / match - Dire Dawa Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Dire Dawa Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Dire Dawa Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Liga | Dire Dawa Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.71 | 1.75 | • 1.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 46% | 41% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▲ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 40% | ▼ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 58% | 53% | ▲ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 42% | 58% | ▲ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0 - 0 - 1 Dire Dawa Kenema. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Dire Dawa Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1:0 Dire Dawa Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Dire Dawa Kenema?
Welwalo Adigrat Uni score 0.67 goals per game on average and Dire Dawa Kenema 0.70. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's matches and 39% of Dire Dawa Kenema's.
What form are Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Dire Dawa Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Welwalo Adigrat Uni have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Dire Dawa Kenema 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Dire Dawa Kenema?
The statistical background for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Dire Dawa Kenema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.