Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Mekelle Kenema: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Welwalo Adigrat Uni played Mekelle Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 30 November 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Mekelle Kenema: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.38 and concedes 1.88 goals per match. Mekelle Kenema scores 1.14 and concedes 1.71. League average: 1.81 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 38%, Mekelle Kenema 71%. Over 2.5: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 38%, Mekelle Kenema 71%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 29%.

xG, shots and style

Mekelle Kenema has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.18. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 5.8 shots per match, Mekelle Kenema: 7.6.

Match halves

Welwalo Adigrat Uni: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.13. Mekelle Kenema: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.43.

Goals by minute

Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 31-45+ (2 goals). Mekelle Kenema: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.81 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 29%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

45Possession (%)55
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
2Shots6
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
2Shots on target1
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0.86xG1.01
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
4Corners4
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
81Dangerous attacks76
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
20Fouls17
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0Cards0
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0.38Goals scored / match1.14
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
1.88Goals conceded / match1.71
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
43%Average possession49%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
1.88Shots on target / match3.29
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

5.75Shots per match7.57
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
1.88Shots on target3.29
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
6.5%Shot conversion15.1%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
43%Possession49%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
1.18xG for1.24
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
1.14xG against1.28
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

Shooting quality

Welwalo Adigrat Uni: BalancedMekelle Kenema: Efficient finishing
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
Accuracy (shots on target)33%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.210.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.200.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W13% R88% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-7
0.13 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-5
Last 5 at home
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.11BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Mekelle Kenema
LLDDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W57% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-4-3
0.57 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 away
0-2-2
LLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mekelle Kenema is 200% better for: goals scored per match.

0.38 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 1.14 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema

Mekelle Kenema is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.88 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 1.71 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema

Welwalo Adigrat Uni scoring profile: mixed

Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 38% of matches (3 of 8 matches), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

Mekelle Kenema scoring profile: very strong

Mekelle Kenema scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).

3Goals scored (season)8
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
15Goals conceded (season)12
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
2.25Average goals in match2.86
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
2Goals scored (last 5)6
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
9Goals conceded (last 5)9
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

How often they score at least...

38%1 goal71%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0%2 goals43%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0%3 goals0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0%4 goals0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal86%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
75%2 goals71%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
13%3 goals14%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
13%4 goals0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.3 of 8 matches
40%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time43%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0%BTTS in both halves14%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0%Scored in both halves43%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS71%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
40%BTTS - last 580%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

2nd half

63%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mekelle Kenema is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 1.29 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema

Welwalo Adigrat Uni - half-time state
13% leading63% draw25% trailing
Mekelle Kenema - half-time state
29% leading43% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.29
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0.25Goals scored (1st half)0.71
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0.75Average goals (1st half)1.43
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
63%Clean sheet before half-time43%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
75%No goal before half-time29%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

After half-time (2nd half)

0.5Points per match (2nd half)0.86
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0.13Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
1.13Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
1.25Average goals (2nd half)1.43
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
38%Clean sheet after half-time43%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
88%No goal after half-time57%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results

0% W50% R50% P
8
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mekelle Kenema - second-half results

14% W43% R43% P
9
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.60
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-3-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Mekelle Kenema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.40
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match1.21.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
0
0
16-30
2
3
31-45
0
2
46-60
0
6
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Mekelle Kenema
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.55
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
141%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
27%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
18%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.80
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.74
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
43%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
202%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Mekelle Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
194%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Welwalo Adigrat UniLigaMekelle Kenema
Average goals in match 2.251.81 2.86
Both teams scored 38%40% 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%29% 71%
Clean sheets 13%39% 14%
Goal before half-time 50%53% 86%
Goal after half-time 63%63% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.81
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
0.88
Home goals / match
0.93
Away goals / match
+-5%
Home attack advantage
+-6%
Home defence advantage
+-1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
53%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
21%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Mekelle Kenema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1:0 Mekelle Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Mekelle Kenema?

Welwalo Adigrat Uni score 0.38 goals per game on average and Mekelle Kenema 1.14. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's matches and 71% of Mekelle Kenema's.

What form are Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Mekelle Kenema in?

Over the last 5 games Welwalo Adigrat Uni have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Mekelle Kenema 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Mekelle Kenema?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.