Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Mekelle Kenema: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Welwalo Adigrat Uni play Mekelle Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 30 November 2025 at 14:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Mekelle Kenema: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.82 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Mekelle Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 0.95. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 46%, Mekelle Kenema 37%. Over 2.5: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 31%, Mekelle Kenema 34%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Mekelle Kenema has higher xG: 1.10 vs 1.03. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 5.7 shots per match, Mekelle Kenema: 6.4.

Match halves

Welwalo Adigrat Uni: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.36. Mekelle Kenema: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.42.

Goals by minute

Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 31-45+ (7 goals). Mekelle Kenema: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

45Possession (%)55
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
2Shots6
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
2Shots on target1
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0.86xG1.01
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
4Corners4
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
81Dangerous attacks76
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
20Fouls17
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0Cards0
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0.82Goals scored / match0.79
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0.97Goals conceded / match0.95
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
46%Average possession49%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
2.05Shots on target / match2.42
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

5.74Shots per match6.37
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
2.05Shots on target2.42
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
14.3%Shot conversion12.4%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
46%Possession49%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
1.03xG for1.1
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
1.1xG against1.17
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

Shooting quality

Welwalo Adigrat Uni: Counter-attackingMekelle Kenema: Balanced
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
Accuracy (shots on target)36%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni
DDLWD
Season result split
26% W41% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-16-13
1.18 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-6-9
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LWDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 0.98BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%
Mekelle Kenema
DDDLW
Season result split
21% W45% R34% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-17-13
1.08 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-7-8
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni scoring profile: mixed

Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 59% of matches (23 of 39 matches), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).

Mekelle Kenema scoring profile: mixed

Mekelle Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 36% (14 of 39 matches).

32Goals scored (season)30
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
38Goals conceded (season)36
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
1.79Average goals in match1.74
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
3Goals scored (last 5)3
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
3Goals conceded (last 5)3
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

How often they score at least...

59%1 goal53%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
18%2 goals21%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
3%3 goals5%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
3%4 goals0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal61%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
28%2 goals26%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
3%3 goals8%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
3%4 goals0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.18 of 39 matches
40%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time11%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0%BTTS in both halves3%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
10%Scored in both halves16%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS24%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
40%BTTS - last 50%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

2nd half

44%Min. 1 goal after half-time61%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni - half-time state
21% leading59% draw21% trailing
Mekelle Kenema - half-time state
21% leading53% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.21Points per match (1st half)1.16
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0.46Goals scored (1st half)0.37
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0.49Goals conceded (1st half)0.39
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0.95Average goals (1st half)0.76
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
56%Clean sheet before half-time66%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
56%No goal before half-time68%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

After half-time (2nd half)

1.1Points per match (2nd half)1.11
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0.36Goals scored (2nd half)0.42
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0.44Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
0.79Average goals (2nd half)0.97
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
69%Clean sheet after half-time58%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema
74%No goal after half-time63%
Welwalo Adigrat UniMekelle Kenema

Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results

15% W64% R21% P
47
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mekelle Kenema - second-half results

18% W55% R26% P
44
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.0
Average goals in match1.20.0
1 goal80%0%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Mekelle Kenema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.60.6
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni
ScoredConceded
5
12
0-15
6
3
16-30
7
6
31-45
1
4
46-60
6
9
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Mekelle Kenema
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
8
5
16-30
3
6
31-45
9
7
46-60
2
5
61-75
5
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+70%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
31%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
19%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Mekelle Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Welwalo Adigrat UniLigaMekelle Kenema
Average goals in match 1.791.78 1.74
Both teams scored 46%40% 37%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 31%28% 34%
Clean sheets 36%40% 39%
Goal before half-time 64%56% 55%
Goal after half-time 44%59% 61%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0 - 0 - 1 Mekelle Kenema. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Mekelle Kenema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1:0 Mekelle Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Mekelle Kenema?

Welwalo Adigrat Uni score 0.82 goals per game on average and Mekelle Kenema 0.79. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's matches and 37% of Mekelle Kenema's.

What form are Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Mekelle Kenema in?

Over the last 5 games Welwalo Adigrat Uni have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Mekelle Kenema 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Mekelle Kenema?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.