Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Sheger Ketema: match statistics
Welwalo Adigrat Uni occupies the last, 19th place in the table and presents very poor form, especially at their home stadium. The hosts have won just 11% of home matches this season, holding a negative -9 goal difference and scoring an average of only 0.44 goals per home game. In their last five matches, they scored just 1 goal and did not achieve a single victory. Sheger Ketema, despite sitting in 15th position, shows better efficiency on the road with 29% wins and a higher average of goals scored (0.71). The visitors also have better xG statistics (1.17 vs 0.97) and a higher percentage of away clean sheets (43% vs 22% for the hosts at home). Given Welwalo Adigrat's dramatically poor form, particularly in attack, and Sheger Ketema's relatively more solid away stance, the visitors are the favorites for this meeting.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Sheger Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Welwalo Adigrat Uni played Sheger Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 21 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Sheger Ketema: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.50 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Sheger Ketema scores 0.86 and concedes 1.07. League average: 1.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 38%, Sheger Ketema 50%. Over 2.5: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 25%, Sheger Ketema 36%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Sheger Ketema has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.00. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 5.4 shots per match, Sheger Ketema: 7.6.
Match halves
Welwalo Adigrat Uni: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.19. Sheger Ketema: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 16-30 (3 goals). Sheger Ketema: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.74 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Welwalo Adigrat Uni occupies the last, 19th place in the table and presents very poor form, especially at their home stadium. The hosts have won just 11% of home matches this season, holding a negative -9 goal difference and scoring an average of only 0.44 goals per home game. In their last five matches, they scored just 1 goal and did not achieve a single victory. Sheger Ketema, despite sitting in 15th position, shows better efficiency on the road with 29% wins and a higher average of goals scored (0.71). The visitors also have better xG statistics (1.17 vs 0.97) and a higher percentage of away clean sheets (43% vs 22% for the hosts at home). Given Welwalo Adigrat's dramatically poor form, particularly in attack, and Sheger Ketema's relatively more solid away stance, the visitors are the favorites for this meeting.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 0.6 pts / match - Sheger Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sheger Ketema is 72% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 0.86 goals / match - Sheger Ketema
Sheger Ketema is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 1.07 goals / match - Sheger Ketema
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 44% of matches (7 of 16 matches), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 matches).
Sheger Ketema scores in 64% of matches (9 of 14 matches), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Over / Under - Sheger Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sheger Ketema is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 1.29 pts / match - Sheger Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Sheger Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Liga | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.69 | 1.74 | ▲ 1.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 43% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 28% | ▲ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 39% | ▼ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | • 56% | 56% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 44% | 58% | ▲ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Sheger KetemaGoalHenok Adugna
- Welwalo Adigrat UniGoalHafiz Wontah Konkoni
FAQ
What was the result of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Sheger Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1:1 Sheger Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Sheger Ketema?
Welwalo Adigrat Uni score 0.50 goals per game on average and Sheger Ketema 0.86. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's matches and 50% of Sheger Ketema's.
What form are Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Sheger Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Welwalo Adigrat Uni have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Sheger Ketema 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Sheger Ketema?
The statistical background for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Sheger Ketema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.