Werder Bremen vs Heidenheim: match statistics
Werder Bremen has a clear advantage as the host in this relegation battle. Despite the poor form of both teams (0.2 points per match each in the last 5 games), Werder presents better home statistics with 27% wins and an average of 1.09 goals per match at home. Heidenheim, conversely, has catastrophic results away with just 9% wins, 82% losses, and an average of 2.18 goals conceded per match, failing to keep a single clean sheet. A key factor is also Werder's higher xG efficiency in home matches (1.68) compared to Heidenheim's xG on the road (1.26). Considering the desperation of both teams fighting for survival and the statistical advantage of the hosts, I expect a difficult but winning match for Werder Bremen.
Werder Bremen vs Heidenheim: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Werder Bremen played Heidenheim in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Werder Bremen: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Heidenheim: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Werder Bremen scores 1.00 and concedes 1.91 goals per match. Heidenheim scores 0.96 and concedes 2.22. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Werder Bremen 43%, Heidenheim 61%. Over 2.5: Werder Bremen 57%, Heidenheim 70%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Werder Bremen has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.28. Werder Bremen: 13.4 shots per match, Heidenheim: 11.9.
Match halves
Werder Bremen: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.70. Heidenheim: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Werder Bremen: 76-90+ (10 goals). Heidenheim: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Werder Bremen has a clear advantage as the host in this relegation battle. Despite the poor form of both teams (0.2 points per match each in the last 5 games), Werder presents better home statistics with 27% wins and an average of 1.09 goals per match at home. Heidenheim, conversely, has catastrophic results away with just 9% wins, 82% losses, and an average of 2.18 goals conceded per match, failing to keep a single clean sheet. A key factor is also Werder's higher xG efficiency in home matches (1.68) compared to Heidenheim's xG on the road (1.26). Considering the desperation of both teams fighting for survival and the statistical advantage of the hosts, I expect a difficult but winning match for Werder Bremen.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Werder Bremen | Heidenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Werder Bremen is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.91 goals / match - Werder Bremen · 2.22 goals / match - Heidenheim
Werder Bremen scores in 57% of matches (13 of 23 matches), while Heidenheim keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 23 matches).
Heidenheim scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while Werder Bremen keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Werder Bremen
Over / Under - Heidenheim
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Werder Bremen is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - Werder Bremen · 0.78 pts / match - Heidenheim
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Werder Bremen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Heidenheim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Werder Bremen
Heidenheim
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Werder Bremen | Liga | Heidenheim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.91 | 3.20 | • 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 57% | 64% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 74% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 83% | ▲ 96% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Werder Bremen 0 - 1 - 0 Heidenheim. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Werder Bremen vs Heidenheim?
The Bundesliga match finished Werder Bremen 2:0 Heidenheim. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Werder Bremen vs Heidenheim?
Werder Bremen score 1.00 goals per game on average and Heidenheim 0.96. The Bundesliga average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Werder Bremen's matches and 61% of Heidenheim's.
What form are Werder Bremen and Heidenheim in?
Over the last 5 games Werder Bremen have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Heidenheim 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Werder Bremen vs Heidenheim?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.