Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05: match statistics
Werder Bremen has looked significantly better recently, securing 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Mainz 05 remains winless in this period, recording 4 draws and 1 defeat. The hosts hold an advantage in ball possession (52% vs 40%) and boast a vastly superior xG in home games (1.7 vs the visitors' 1.14 xG away), indicating higher quality in chance creation. Mainz 05 has not kept a single clean sheet in away games this season and concedes an average of 2.08 goals per away match, marking a severe weakness. Werder possesses a 33% home win rate, whereas Mainz wins only 17% of their away matches. The form of both teams and xG stats strongly favor a home win, although their shaky defense raises concerns, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair. Taking all factors into consideration, Werder Bremen has a realistic chance to secure all three points in front of their home crowd.
Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Werder Bremen played Mainz 05 in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Werder Bremen: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Mainz 05: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Werder Bremen scores 1.16 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Mainz 05 scores 1.16 and concedes 1.64. League average: 3.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Werder Bremen 44%, Mainz 05 60%. Over 2.5: Werder Bremen 56%, Mainz 05 52%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Werder Bremen has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.36. Werder Bremen: 13.6 shots per match, Mainz 05: 11.5.
Match halves
Werder Bremen: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80. Mainz 05: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Werder Bremen: 76-90+ (12 goals). Mainz 05: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Werder Bremen has looked significantly better recently, securing 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Mainz 05 remains winless in this period, recording 4 draws and 1 defeat. The hosts hold an advantage in ball possession (52% vs 40%) and boast a vastly superior xG in home games (1.7 vs the visitors' 1.14 xG away), indicating higher quality in chance creation. Mainz 05 has not kept a single clean sheet in away games this season and concedes an average of 2.08 goals per away match, marking a severe weakness. Werder possesses a 33% home win rate, whereas Mainz wins only 17% of their away matches. The form of both teams and xG stats strongly favor a home win, although their shaky defense raises concerns, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair. Taking all factors into consideration, Werder Bremen has a realistic chance to secure all three points in front of their home crowd.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Werder Bremen | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mainz 05 is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.8 goals / match - Werder Bremen · 1.64 goals / match - Mainz 05
Werder Bremen scores in 60% of matches (15 of 25 matches), while Mainz 05 keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 25 matches).
Mainz 05 scores in 64% of matches (16 of 25 matches), while Werder Bremen keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Werder Bremen
Over / Under - Mainz 05
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mainz 05 is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / match - Werder Bremen · 1.28 pts / match - Mainz 05
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Werder Bremen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mainz 05 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Werder Bremen
Mainz 05
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Werder Bremen | Liga | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.96 | 3.16 | ▼ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 59% | • 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 62% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 23% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 76% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | • 84% | 84% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Werder Bremen 0 - 1 - 0 Mainz 05. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05?
The Bundesliga match finished Werder Bremen 0:2 Mainz 05. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05?
Werder Bremen score 1.16 goals per game on average and Mainz 05 1.16. The Bundesliga average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Werder Bremen's matches and 60% of Mainz 05's.
What form are Werder Bremen and Mainz 05 in?
Over the last 5 games Werder Bremen have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Mainz 05 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05?
The statistical background for Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05 — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.