Werder Bremen vs Paderborn: match statistics
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Werder Bremen vs Paderborn: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Werder Bremen play Paderborn in Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Wohninvest Weserstadion.
Current form
Werder Bremen: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Paderborn: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Werder Bremen scores 2.00 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Paderborn scores 0.60 and concedes 1.40. League average: 3.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Werder Bremen 100%, Paderborn 20%. Over 2.5: Werder Bremen 80%, Paderborn 40%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 78%.
xG, shots and style
Werder Bremen has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.44. Werder Bremen: 13.2 shots per match, Paderborn: 14.2.
Match halves
Werder Bremen: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.80. Paderborn: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.20.
Goals by minute
Werder Bremen: 76-90+ (6 goals). Paderborn: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.82 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 78%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Werder Bremen | Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 20% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Werder Bremen is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Werder Bremen · 0.8 pts / match - Paderborn
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Werder Bremen is 233% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Werder Bremen · 0.6 goals / match - Paderborn
Paderborn is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Werder Bremen · 1.4 goals / match - Paderborn
Werder Bremen scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Paderborn keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Paderborn scores in 20% of matches (1 of 5 matches), while Werder Bremen keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Werder Bremen
Over / Under - Paderborn
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Werder Bremen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Paderborn - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Werder Bremen
Paderborn
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Werder Bremen | Liga | Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 3.82 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 60% | ▼ 20% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 23% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 80% | 87% | ▼ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 89% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Werder Bremen and Paderborn play?
Werder Bremen face Paderborn on 17 October 2026 in Bundesliga at Wohninvest Weserstadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Werder Bremen vs Paderborn?
Werder Bremen score 2.00 goals per game on average and Paderborn 0.60. The Bundesliga average is 3.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 78% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Werder Bremen's matches and 20% of Paderborn's.
What form are Werder Bremen and Paderborn in?
Over the last 5 games Werder Bremen have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Paderborn 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Werder Bremen vs Paderborn?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Werder Bremen vs Paderborn: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.