West Bromwich Albion vs Birmingham City: match statistics
West Bromwich Albion vs Birmingham City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
West Bromwich Albion played Birmingham City in Championship (England). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: The Hawthorns. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
West Bromwich Albion: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Birmingham City: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
West Bromwich Albion scores 1.25 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Birmingham City scores 1.50 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: West Bromwich Albion 63%, Birmingham City 88%. Over 2.5: West Bromwich Albion 38%, Birmingham City 75%. League level: BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Birmingham City has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.21. West Bromwich Albion: 9.9 shots per match, Birmingham City: 13.3.
Match halves
West Bromwich Albion: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Birmingham City: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
West Bromwich Albion: 61-75 (3 goals). Birmingham City: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
West Bromwich Albion are favourites thanks to their solid home form: they are unbeaten at home, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded, while Birmingham City average 1.25 goals scored and 1 conceded away from home. The hosts create slightly better chances, with an average xG of 1.48 compared with the visitors’ 1.45, while also limiting opponents to chances worth just 0.88 xG, compared with Birmingham’s 1.33. In their last five matches, West Brom have won twice and conceded just 3 goals, whereas Birmingham have recorded one win and conceded 8. However, the visitors can pose a threat in front of goal—they have scored 8 goals in those five matches—so a draw remains a realistic possibility, particularly as half of West Brom’s home matches have ended level.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 100% of West Bromwich Albion’s home matches and 75% of Birmingham City’s away games, pointing to goals at both ends. The hosts average 1.75 goals scored at home, but also concede 1.75, meaning their matches offer opponents opportunities. Birmingham have scored and conceded in each of their last five matches, averaging 1.6 goals for and 1.6 against. In addition, the teams’ average xG figures are similar — 1.56 for the hosts and 1.45 for the visitors — indicating that both sides regularly create chances. Caution is warranted, as West Bromwich have averaged just 0.8 goals in their last five matches; however, the overall data more strongly supports BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is for at least 2 goals: the 1.5 threshold was reached in 100% of West Bromwich Albion’s home matches and 75% of Birmingham City’s away matches. The hosts average 1.75 goals scored at home, but also concede 1.75, which points to goals at both ends. Birmingham average 1.45 xG away, while West Bromwich average 1.56 xG at home, putting the projected total at 2.75 goals. The higher 2.5 threshold is less certain: although both teams went Over 2.5 in 75% of matches under these conditions, West Bromwich failed to do so in each of their last 5 matches. For that reason, Over 1.5 is a safer pick than Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is likely: West Brom were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Birmingham did so in 2 of 5. The hosts kept a clean sheet before half-time in 4 of those 5 matches, while the visitors failed to score in the first half in 3 of 5, weakening the case for Birmingham to take an early lead. The balance shifts after the break: the visitors won the second half in 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.0 goals in those periods, while the hosts did not win a single second half and averaged 0.2 goals. Therefore, a half-time draw followed by a Birmingham win is the strongest single HT/FT scenario, though it is far from certain — West Brom conceded an average of just 0.6 goals per match across their last 5 fixtures.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| West Bromwich Albion | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
West Bromwich Albion is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - West Bromwich Albion · 1.2 pts / match - Birmingham City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Birmingham City is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - West Bromwich Albion · 1.5 goals / match - Birmingham City
West Bromwich Albion is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - West Bromwich Albion · 1.38 goals / match - Birmingham City
West Bromwich Albion scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
Birmingham City scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while West Bromwich Albion keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - West Bromwich Albion
Over / Under - Birmingham City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
West Bromwich Albion is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - West Bromwich Albion · 0.88 pts / match - Birmingham City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
West Bromwich Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Birmingham City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
West Bromwich Albion
Birmingham City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| West Bromwich Albion | Liga | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.91 | • 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 63% | 69% | ▲ 88% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 64% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 19% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 79% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): West Bromwich Albion 0 - 2 - 0 Birmingham City. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of West Bromwich Albion vs Birmingham City?
The Championship match finished West Bromwich Albion 0:1 Birmingham City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between West Bromwich Albion and Birmingham City?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches West Bromwich Albion won 0, Birmingham City won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before West Bromwich Albion vs Birmingham City?
West Bromwich Albion score 1.25 goals per game on average and Birmingham City 1.50. The Championship average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 63% of West Bromwich Albion's matches and 88% of Birmingham City's.
What form are West Bromwich Albion and Birmingham City in?
Over the last 5 games West Bromwich Albion have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Birmingham City 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for West Bromwich Albion vs Birmingham City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.