West Ham United vs Charlton Athletic: match statistics

West Ham are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 2 wins and 3 draws, while Charlton have lost 2 of their 5 fixtures. The hosts have scored 11 goals during this period—2 more than their opponents—and conceded just 4, compared with Charlton’s 8. Charlton opened the current season with a 2:1 victory and sit 4th, whereas West Ham drew their opening match 2:2, increasing the likelihood of a closely contested game. West Ham’s superior defensive stability in their recent run, combined with home advantage, slightly tilts the prediction in favour of the hosts, although the high proportion of draws calls for caution.

The BTTS pick is primarily supported by the current form of both teams: West Ham have averaged 2.2 goals in their last 5 matches, while Charlton have averaged 1.8. Charlton have recorded goals from both sides in 100% of their last five matches, whereas West Ham’s rate stands at 60%. Both defences allow opponents quality chances, with average xG against them of 1.50 and 1.53 respectively, while Charlton have conceded 8 goals in their last 5 appearances. West Ham average 2.0 goals per match over the season and have 1.55 xG, so they should exploit the visitors’ weaknesses; however, their defence has kept just 1 clean sheet in 0% of matches, creating space for a Charlton response. An additional argument is the very high league BTTS rate of 83%, making it more likely that each team will score at least one goal.

West Ham have scored an average of 2.2 goals in their last 5 matches, while Charlton have conceded 1.6 goals per game over the same period. Charlton, in turn, have averaged 1.8 goals scored, whereas West Ham have allowed opponents just 0.8 goals, reducing the risk of a very low-scoring outcome. The average xG from the last five appearances stands at 1.18 for the home side and 1.44 for the visitors, while both teams have allowed their opponents to create chances worth more than 1.50 xG. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 60% of West Ham’s recent matches and in all 5 of Charlton’s games, compared with a league average of 2.83 goals. However, the strongest selection remains Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 2.75 goals and the attacking numbers of both sides clearly argue against a 0:0, 1:0 or 0:1 result.

In their last five matches, West Ham led at the break in 80% of cases, while Charlton were ahead after 45 minutes only once, accounting for 20% of their matches. The hosts averaged 1.2 goals scored and just 0.2 conceded before half-time, in clear contrast to Charlton’s first-half figures of 1.0 goal scored and 0.6 conceded. Across their last five appearances, West Ham averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Charlton averaged 1.8 goals scored and as many as 1.6 conceded. In addition, West Ham remain unbeaten during this period, recording 40% wins and 60% draws, whereas Charlton lost 40% of their matches. The most likely scenario is therefore a West Ham lead at the break followed by the hosts maintaining their advantage until the final whistle.