Westchester SC vs Alta: match statistics

Westchester SC are the favourites at home, where they have won 54% of their matches, while Alta have lost 64% of their away games. The hosts average 2.46 goals per home match, whereas the visitors score just 0.86 away from home and have failed to score in half of those matches. The quality of chances created also favours Westchester: their home xG is 1.73, compared with Alta’s 1.29 xG away from home. Alta’s defence concedes an average of 1.86 goals on the road, and they have lost all five of their last five matches, scoring just 2 goals and conceding 13. Westchester have scored 12 goals and won 2 of their 5 matches over the same period, which, combined with their opponents’ poor run, boosts the hosts’ chances of victory.

The strongest signal against BTTS - Yes comes from Alta’s attack: they failed to score in 50% of their matches and averaged just 0.4 goals across their last 5 games. Westchester kept a clean sheet in 43% of their home matches and conceded an average of 1.0 goals, further increasing the risk that the visitors will fail to find the net. The hosts have significantly better scoring prospects: they averaged 1.57 goals at home, while Alta conceded 1.86 goals away and as many as 2.6 goals per game across their last 5 matches. The case for BTTS - Yes is supported by Westchester conceding an average of 2.0 goals recently, while both teams scored and conceded in 57% and 50% of their matches, respectively. Even so, Alta’s poor finishing makes it slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score, with the visitors the likelier side to draw a blank.

Westchester score an average of 1.57 goals at home, while Alta concede 1.86 away, giving the hosts a solid foundation for finding the net. Over their last five matches, Westchester averaged 2.4 goals scored, while Alta conceded 2.6 and lost all five games. The visitors score just 0.86 goals per away match on average and have failed to score in 50% of those games, so I am more cautious about their contribution to the total. Even so, at least two goals were scored in 79% of Westchester’s home matches and 64% of Alta’s away games, while the Over 2.5 goals line was hit in 80% of the teams’ last five matches. The strongest pick is therefore Over 1.5 goals: the hosts’ scoring alone may be enough, without requiring Alta to get on the scoresheet.

Westchester score an average of 1.57 goals per match, while Alta concede 1.86; over their last five matches, the gap in scoring output has been even wider, with the hosts averaging 2.4 goals compared with 0.4 for the visitors. Westchester score an average of 0.86 goals before half-time, while Alta manage just 0.31 and fail to score before the break in 69% of matches, pointing to an early Westchester lead. The hosts have led at the break in 36% of their matches, while the visitors have been trailing at that stage in 38% of theirs, although frequent half-time draws mean that X/1 remains a significant alternative. Westchester’s second-half record supports them holding their lead: they concede an average of 0.43 goals after the break, while Alta score 0.46 and have lost all of their last five matches. Therefore, the hosts leading at both half-time and full-time is the strongest single HT/FT scenario.