Whitecaps II vs LA Galaxy II: match statistics
Whitecaps II vs LA Galaxy II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Whitecaps II played LA Galaxy II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 8 July 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Whitecaps II: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. LA Galaxy II: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Whitecaps II scores 1.29 and concedes 2.06 goals per match. LA Galaxy II scores 1.76 and concedes 1.41. League average: 3.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Whitecaps II 71%, LA Galaxy II 71%. Over 2.5: Whitecaps II 65%, LA Galaxy II 59%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Whitecaps II has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.61. Whitecaps II: 12.6 shots per match, LA Galaxy II: 13.4.
Match halves
Whitecaps II: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.76. LA Galaxy II: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.18.
Goals by minute
Whitecaps II: 0-15 (5 goals). LA Galaxy II: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-4. Average goals 4.17, BTTS 83%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (LA Galaxy II). LA sit 11th in the league versus 26th-ranked Whitecaps II; this season the visitors have scored 30 and conceded 24, while the hosts have 22 goals for and 35 against. In their last 5 matches LA are 3-1-1, scored 9 goals and average 2.0 points per game, whereas Whitecaps have scored 5, won once and average 0.8 points per game in the same period. Defensively the visitors look stronger: away they concede 1.38 goals on average and keep 38% clean sheets, while the hosts concede 1.56 at home and have an 11% clean sheet rate. The hosts do generate higher home xG (1.84 vs 1.35), more shots (13.44 vs 11.5) and more shots on target (4.67 vs 3.63), but their conversion rate is 11% versus 12% for LA and their share of goalless games is 22% vs 25%. Considering the visitors' superior form, better defence and more frequent clean sheets, I assess probabilities as: away 55%, draw 25%, home 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Whitecaps II have a seasonal BTTS rate of 89% and average 2.11 goals scored at home with 1.44 conceded, strongly favoring goal exchanges. LA Galaxy II have a seasonal BTTS of 50% and season averages of 1.38 goals scored and 1.38 conceded, but in their last 5 matches the visitors scored 9 goals (1.8 avg) and have 80% BTTS, while the home side has 60% BTTS in the last 5. xG is 1.83 for the home team versus 1.35 for the visitors, and xG against is 1.65 and 1.75, indicating both teams create chances and are exposed to conceding. The home team has only 11% clean sheets this season versus 38% for the visitors, and the league average BTTS is 61% with 3.25 goals per match, so league context and clean sheet rates favor both teams scoring. Considering 89% vs 50% seasonal BTTS, 60% vs 80% in the last 5, higher xG and the fact that the teams concede on average 1.44 and 1.38 goals per season, the strongest signal from the data is BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: Whitecaps II have xG_for 1.83, LA Galaxy II xG_for 1.35, and xG against for both teams is 1.65 (home) and 1.75 (away); averaging these pairs yields expected 1.79 goals for the home side and 1.50 for the visitors, totaling 3.29. Assuming a Poisson distribution with λ=3.29 gives probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) ≈84%, at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) ≈64% and at least 4 goals (Over 3.5) ≈42%. Season data reinforce this projection: Whitecaps II score 2.11 goals on average and have a season Over1.5 rate of 100%, while LA Galaxy II score 1.38 and have Over1.5 63%. The hosts average 15.11 shots and 6.33 shots on target versus 11.5 and 3.63 for the visitors, and the percentage of matches in which each team scored is 89% for the home side and 50% for the away side — this increases the likelihood of >1.5 goals. The strongest signal from the data is the line Over 1.5 (selection: Over 1.5) due to the 3.29 expected goals, the home side’s season-long 100% Over1.5 and Whitecaps II’s offensive edge; recommendation based on probability ≈84%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is the home side leading at the break and winning the match (1/1) — I assign this a 45% probability. Whitecaps II led at half-time in 56% of matches and average 0.78 goals scored by half-time versus 0.38 for LA Galaxy II, with average goals conceded by half-time of 0.56 and 0.63 respectively. Additionally, the hosts generate higher xG (1.83 vs 1.35) and average 6.33 shots on target compared to the visitors’ 3.63, and seasonally score 2.11 goals at home versus 1.38 away, which supports converting a lead at the break into a full-time victory (56% home wins vs 25% away wins). It is also worth noting that Whitecaps II home matches often see both teams scoring (89% of games), but both teams had scored by half-time in only 11% of cases, indicating a quick, single-goal lead for the hosts. LA Galaxy II have better recent form over the last 5 matches (60% wins vs the home side’s 20%), so I assigned some probability to draws and turnarounds (e.g. X/1 9% and 2/2 16%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Whitecaps II | LA Galaxy II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
LA Galaxy II is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Whitecaps II · 2 pts / match - LA Galaxy II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
LA Galaxy II is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Whitecaps II · 1.76 goals / match - LA Galaxy II
LA Galaxy II is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.06 goals / match - Whitecaps II · 1.41 goals / match - LA Galaxy II
Whitecaps II scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while LA Galaxy II keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
LA Galaxy II scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Whitecaps II keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Whitecaps II
Over / Under - LA Galaxy II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
LA Galaxy II is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Whitecaps II · 1.53 pts / match - LA Galaxy II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Whitecaps II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
LA Galaxy II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Whitecaps II
LA Galaxy II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Whitecaps II | Liga | LA Galaxy II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.35 | 3.25 | • 3.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 61% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 65% | 65% | ▼ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 21% | ▲ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 84% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Whitecaps II 1 - 1 - 4 LA Galaxy II. Average goals 4.17, both teams scored in 83% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Whitecaps II vs LA Galaxy II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Whitecaps II 3:2 LA Galaxy II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Whitecaps II and LA Galaxy II?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Whitecaps II won 1, LA Galaxy II won 4 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.17 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Whitecaps II vs LA Galaxy II?
Whitecaps II score 1.29 goals per game on average and LA Galaxy II 1.76. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Whitecaps II's matches and 71% of LA Galaxy II's.
What form are Whitecaps II and LA Galaxy II in?
Over the last 5 games Whitecaps II have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and LA Galaxy II 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Whitecaps II vs LA Galaxy II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.